After an eventful Monaco Grand Prix, Formula 1 travels to the familiar Circuit de Barcelona-Cataluyna, featuring a new track layout guaranteed to bring higher speeds and faster laps times. Mercedes will see what they have in the new-look W-14, while many teams are expected to bring
While Max Verstappen and the RB19 are the clear, overwhelming favorites to win in Barcelona, there are still plenty of betting lines that provide real value, while Verstappen likely cruises to another win. Bangthebook has you in pole position in your betting version of the RB-19 with our Gran Premio de Espana betting preview.
Lights out, and away we go!
Max Verstappen’s Lonely World at the Top
It’s not Red Bull versus Red Bull anymore; it might be Max Verstappen versus the entire grid, which is where we start our Gran Premio de Espana betting preview.
BetOnline has Verstappen listed at -260 to win the Grand Prix, while the other 19 drivers in the field are listed at +200.
Unless reliability issues or major contact on the race start affecting Verstappen’s RB-19, he’s likely to overcome whatever deficit is put in front of him and win the race. He’s won from deep on the grid numerous times in the last two seasons. That’s the type of pace advantage we’ve grown accustomed to Verstappen happening since the introduction of the new rules set in 2022. When you pair the race pace of the Red Bull with Verstappen’s magnificent technique, touch, and feel behind the wheel.
We’re taking Verstappen to defeat the field at -260 odds. We’re also taking the winning margin of +5 seconds or more at -260.
Gran Primio de Espana: the Battle for P2
There have been two constants in Formula 1 in 2023: Max Verstappen being close to perfect and Fernando Alonso returning to the podium.
Aston Martin’s AMR-23 in Fernando Alonso’s hands was the biggest surprise to start the season. Alonso is the biggest threat to the Red Bulls and is still tenths of a second off in race pace. However, can Alonso claim his second straight P2 finish by beating Sergio Pérez in the other RB-19?
In the head-to-head betting line, Alonso is listed at +150, while Pérez is listed at -180. With the pace advantage, Pérez should have in the RB-19, he should be a larger favorite. Alonso has finished higher than Pérez this season: in Australia, after Pèrez binned it in qualifying 1, and last weekend in Monaco, where Pérez binned it in Qualifying 1 again.
While we’re pulling for an Alonso win when something does happen to Verstappen’s car, we’re not pulling the trigger on this wager until we’ve seen if Pérez is on top of the RB-19 in practice.
If Pérez is not on the pace, the likelihood he bins it in qualifying will increase, opening the door for an Alonso head-to-head win at +150.
Who’s Upgrade Package is Better?
Both Ferrari and Mercedes will have new upgrades on their respective cars, with Ferrari’s making their debut, while Mercedes will get their first real look at what the revamped W-14’s baseline is.
Mercedes (-130) is favored over Ferrari (+100) in a constructor head-to-head wager. So far this season, Mercedes have won 5 of the six head-to-head battles with Ferrari this season, and we expect that to continue as Mercedes learns the new W-14, finding more pace along the way.
Gran Premio de Espana Pole Sitter
There weren’t any odds listed on Bookmaker for who will win pole position at the time of publication.
When betting on qualifying, you need to remember that qualifying is the one area where Red Bull can be caught. And there is no single driver who is better over one lap than Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc, who has captured the only pole position that didn’t go to one of the Red Bull drivers.
Can Leclerc put his SF-23 on pole once again, or will it be an all-RB-19 front row? We’ll let you decide when the odds are released, and we’ve seen the cars on track for practice.