The Tigers and Braves are set to face off at 8:30 ET on None. The Braves will host the game at Davey L. Whitney Complex in Lorman, MS. The over/under for this game is set at 135.5 points, and Alcorn State is favored by -1.5 vs. Grambling State in a Southwestern Athletic conference matchup.
GRAMBLING STATE TIGERS VS ALCORN STATE BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Alcorn State Braves -1.5
This game will be played at Davey L. Whitney Complex at 8:30 ET on Monday, February 5th.
WHY BET THE ALCORN STATE BRAVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Braves.
- Not only will Alcorn State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Can the Tigers Pull the Upset on the Road?
Grambling State is 9-12 overall and 6-2 in the Southwestern Athletic Conference. They have gone 3-10 in non-conference games and are 3-8 on the road this season.
As the underdog, the Tigers have gone 3-10 this season. They have won their last three games on the road, and their average margin of defeat on the road is -15.4 points per game.
Grambling State has an ATS record of 8-10 this season, but they have gone 6-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Tigers have an ATS mark of 6-7 this year and they are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three games as the underdog. On the road, Grambling State’s ATS record is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Grambling State’s over/under record for the season is 8-10 and today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (137.1). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. For the season, their games have an average of 133.1 points.
In their previous game, the Tigers’ offense finished with 70 points, which is right in line with their current average of 66 points per contest. Kintavious Dozier is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 13.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Tra’Michael Moton brings a PPG average of 10.3 into the game.
At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 156th, allowing 71.5 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Grambling State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.2% this season.
Will the Alcorn State Defense Show Up at Home?
Alcorn State has been much better at home this season, as they are just 3-14 on the road compared to 1-1 at home. They have won three straight games and are 4-3 in Southwestern Athletic Conference play.
Over their last 10 games at home, the Braves have gone 6-4. In their most recent game, they defeated Bethune-Cookman by a score of 70-67.
Alcorn State has an overall ATS record of 9-10 this season, including a 1-1 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Braves are 6-4 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Alcorn State is 11-8. Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (147.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-2.
In their previous game, the Braves’ offense finished with 70 points, which is right in line with their current average of 69.6 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jeremiah Kendall who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.1. Jeremiah Gambrell also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.9.
The Braves’ defense is presently ranked 321st nationally, allowing an average of 81.5 points per contest. Alcorn State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Bethune-Cookman to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.