Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Dons. The game is starting at 11:00 ET on ESPN2, and it’s hosted by the Dons at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Get ready to place your bets! Gonzaga come into this West Coast conference matchup as the -3.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 154.5 points.


The Pick: San Francisco Dons +3.5

This game will be played at Chase Center at 11:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Dons.
  • Not only will San Francisco pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can Gonzaga Secure a Road Victory?

With a 22-6 overall record, Gonzaga is favored in today’s game against San Francisco, as they have been in 24 of their 28 games this season. So far, they have gone 20-4 as the favorite.

The Bulldogs have been even better on the road this season, going 7-2 with an average scoring margin of +13.9 points per game. They have won their last five road games and are 8-2 in their last 10.

As the favorite this season, Gonzaga has gone 11-13 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs are just 4-6 ATS. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-5 this year and they are 5-5 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Gonzaga games is 13-14. Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is very close to the average over/under line in their games this year (154.6). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 168 points. On the year, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Gonzaga’s offense scored 94 points against Santa Clara. Their field goal percentage for the game was 56.7%, and they went 18/26 from the free-throw line. Graham Ike was the leading scorer for the Bulldogs, putting up 26 points. In addition, Nolan Hickman contributed 20 points.

At present, the Bulldogs’ defense is nationally ranked 99th, allowing 69.1 points per game. In today’s game vs. San Francisco, the Gonzaga defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Gonzaga made 18 free-throws vs. the Bulldogs.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

San Francisco has been a much better team at home this season, going 15-2 compared to 6-5 on the road. They are currently riding a four-game win streak at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.

As the underdog, the Dons have yet to win this season, going 0-6 in their six games as the underdog. On the year, they have been the underdog in just six of their 29 games.

As the underdog this season, San Francisco has an ATS record of 4-2. At home, their ATS mark is 10-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Dons have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for San Francisco sits at 15-13 and today’s line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 141.8. So far, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Recently, their games have averaged 145 points over their last three contests.

In their latest game, San Francisco offense put up 92 points against Pepperdine. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 59.7% and made 12 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Dons offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 24 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 49%.

San Francisco’s defense has been playing well, ranking 31st nationally, with 65.4 points allowed per game. In their most recent game, the San Francisco defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Pepperdine knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 68 points.