Looking to win big? The Bulldogs and Waves face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Waves are hosting the game at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA. The Bulldogs are the favored team in this West Coast conference contest against the Waves. The game’s over/under currently sits at 156.5 points.


The Pick: Pepperdine Waves +12.5

This game will be played at Firestone Fieldhouse at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Waves.
  • Not only will Pepperdine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +12.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Bulldogs Defense Show Up in Malibu?

Through 16 games, Gonzaga has an 11-5 record, including a 2-1 mark in West Coast Conference play. The Bulldogs have been slightly better on the road, going 2-2 compared to an 8-3 mark at home. They have a +2.8 average scoring margin on the road and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 away from home.

Coming off a 77-76 loss to Santa Clara, Gonzaga is favored by 12.5 points against Pepperdine. The Bulldogs have been favored in 13 of their 16 games, going 10-3 in those contests.

Overall, Gonzaga has an ATS record of 6-9 this season, including a mark of 1-3 on the road. As the favorite, the Bulldogs are 6-7 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Gonzaga has gone just 4-6 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is right in line with the average over/under line of 153.6 in Gonzaga’s games this season. So far, the over/under record in their games is 7-8. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and their over/under record in their last three games is 1-2.

Coming off their recent game, the Gonzaga offense tallied 76 points in a matchup against Santa Clara. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.8%, and they made 2 threes. Anton Watson was the leading scorer for the Bulldogs, putting up 32 points. In addition, Ryan Nembhard contributed 21 points.

So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 93rd in the country at 68.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.9 threes per game vs. Pepperdine. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.9%.

Can the Waves Pull the Upset at Home?

Pepperdine will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak when they host Gonzaga. So far this season, they have gone 9-10, including a 2-2 record in West Coast Conference games. At home, the Waves have gone 6-4 compared to 1-6 on the road.

Pepperdine is 1-9 as the underdog this season, and they have gone 6-1 when favored. Their average scoring margin at home is +7.3 compared to -14.7 on the road. In their last game, the Waves defeated San Diego by a score of 83-77.

As the underdog, Pepperdine has struggled vs. the spread this year, going just 2-8. Their overall ATS mark is 8-9. At home, the Waves are 6-4 vs. the spread this season and they have gone 5-4 in their last 10 home games vs. the number.

Pepperdine’s over/under record this season sits at 7-8-2, and today’s line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150.5). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points.

In their recent matchup, the Pepperdine offense ended with 83 points against San Diego. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.1% and made 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Michael Ajayi, who holds an average of 18.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Houston Mallette is averaging 16.5 points per game this season.

Pepperdine’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. San Diego, the Toreros finished with a field goal percentage of 56% and a total of 77 points vs. Pepperdine.