A traditional tournament is on tap this week with the Wells Fargo Championship, so we’re back with our DFS look at the PGA Tour. Last week’s Zurich Classic didn’t really set up well with the team format, but this week’s Wells Fargo is a really interesting tournament in its own right. There are only two weeks until the PGA Championship and the revamped calendar has some of the top players in the field.
On the other hand, this is a tournament lacking a little bit of depth, as the second and third tiers of players look a little bit weak. Hopefully we can help you in your quest to put together the perfect roster by looking at some of this week’s top value picks.
Gary Woodland ($9,000) – Even at $9,000, Gary Woodland is a value pick this week. He most certainly has the length to shorten this par 71 track that measures upwards of 7,600 yards. It will likely play a little shorter than that this year, but it is still a long course that has a lot of long second shots. Woodland, who was fifth here in 2015 and inside the top 25 in 2017 and 2016, grades well in every metric except for putting this season. He’s ninth in driving distance, 50th in driving accuracy, sixth in par 4 scoring, third in par 5 scoring, sixth in strokes gained tee-to-green and off-the-tee, 27th in strokes gained approach, and 37th in stokes gained around the green. He just hasn’t gotten enough putts to fall. He should be in position for birdies and eagles this week. Hopefully he buries some putts for us to justify what still looks like a favorable price.
Jason Kokrak ($8,700) – A lot of players live around this course. Jason Kokrak is one of them. Kokrak is still looking for his first PGA Tour win, but this week surely looks as good as any. He’s made all 13 cuts this season and ranks third in strokes gained off the tee plus strokes gained approach on tour this season. The guys ahead of him are Rory McIlroy and Hideki Matsuyama, so that’s some esteemed company. Kokrak is top 30 in both strokes gained tee-to-green and strokes gained off-the-tee. He’s fourth in strokes gained approach, which matters a ton at this event. He hasn’t had much success at Quail Hollow, but he’s also never been in this kind of form with four top-10 finishes and six top-25 finishes in his last seven events.
Luke List ($8,000) – We’re paying for some driving distance this week, but it only makes sense on the long track outside Charlotte. Luke List’s finishes really aren’t evident of how well he has played at times this season. He’s second in driving distance, 14th in strokes gained tee-to-green and 10th in strokes gained off-the-tee. Like most players, he just hasn’t been able to knock down putts. He actually has a similar, albeit lesser, profile to Hideki Matsuyama, who is one of the most expensive players this week. As a lite version of Matsuyama, this is a really good price. He also finished ninth here last year.
Nick Watney ($7,600) – Nick Watney was second here last year, which has added a few hundred dollars to his price tag. That is his third top-10 finish at Quail Hollow since 2012, so he definitely seems to play well at this course. He was ninth last week at the Zurich Classic with his partner, so he’s not a bad long shot to take this week, as his partner didn’t do it all on his own. Watney ranks top 25 in par 5 scoring. Even though this is a par 71, so it is missing a par 5, there are some very long par 4s to contend with, so Watney’s acumen on those long holes could play out nicely here this week.
Trey Mullinax ($7,500) – Trey Mullinax and his partner Scott Stallings were right there last week at the Zurich Classic. Mullinax has also played a lot better than his recent results would suggest. Mullinax, like so many others, just hasn’t made enough putts. With last week’s good run at the Zurich Classic, he’s got back-to-back top-20 finishes and four over the last 12 weeks. Mullinax is 20th in driving distance, which certainly helps here. He’s 38th in strokes gained off-the-tee and 50th in strokes gained approach. Taking bombers this week is a sound strategy because they can really cut down the distance on the second shots, which gives them a better chance at avoiding all of the bunkers that protect the greens.