Only four of the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking are on hand at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm for this week’s Quicken Loans National. Only one year worth of course form data is available to us this week, as this tournament was regularly a fixture at Congressional in the past. It will move again next year, so let’s enjoy TPC Potomac while we can with this week’s daily fantasy golf picks.
We’ll try to help you with your daily fantasy golf choices by looking for the top values. Everybody can take the top guys and hope for the best, but it’s often that low-cost missing piece that makes all the difference in your GPPs, 50/50s, or H2H matchups. Keep that in mind as you read through these plays. We’re looking for cheap players with upside.
Kevin Streelman ($8,700) – Unfortunately, with such a weak field, we’re going to have to pay for some players we otherwise wouldn’t have to pay for. One of them is Kevin Streelman. Streelman fits the profile for the type of player we’d want at this event. He’s top 25 in driving accuracy and tied for ninth in par 4 scoring. Nine of the 12 par 4s on this course played over par last year, as the scoring holes were the two par 5s and only a handful of the par 4s. Streelman plays from the short grass and plays it safe, which helped him to a T-17th here last year. That’s a good start for us, even if we have to pay for it a bit.
Chesson Hadley ($8,400) – Chesson Hadley didn’t show up for us last week as he missed his second straight cut. Hadley finished 1-over and didn’t make it to the weekend, but we’ll go back to the well this week. Had he made the cut, there’s a decent chance he’d be pretty pricy this week, but he comes at a reasonable cost. Hadley is T-23rd in par 4 scoring this year and 30th in driving accuracy. He dropped five spots in strokes gained putting with last week’s display, but he’s top 30 in that as well. Again, he’s a little more expensive than we would like, but this field is not deep at all.
Ryan Armour ($7,500) – Slow and steady just might be the way to go this week at a place where 7-under was the winning score last year. Ryan Armour fits the slow and steady category. He’s second on the PGA Tour in fairways hit, so he should set himself up nicely this week at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm. He didn’t meet the invitational status last year, but he’s on hand this year. Armour hasn’t putted well enough and that’s the concern here, but if he can get on in two and two putt a lot of these tough par 4s, that’ll be enough to get us to Sunday with the chance to keep accumulating points.
Johnson Wagner ($7,100) – My favorite value pick this week is Johnson Wagner. Wagner very quietly bagged a top-five at TPC Potomac in this event last year with a workmanlike 66-71-71-68 line over 72 holes. Wagner is T-50th in par 4 scoring because of his putting. He’s fifth in strokes gained putting. While hitting the short grass off of the tee is really important, Wagner is able to save some strokes by knocking down some putts and that goes a long way here at TPC Potomac. Fairways and putts are the way to win. Kyle Stanley hit a ton of fairways last year, but Wagner showed that you can also putt your way to the top of the board.
Adam Hadwin ($7,300) – We’ll finish up with a safe pick in Adam Hadwin. Hadwin doesn’t have a whole lot of upside, but he does have three top-10 finishes on the season. The Canadian golfer has only missed one cut and it was on the impossible track at Shinnecock Hills for the US Open. Hadwin fell just on the cut line at 3-over last year. Hadwin is T-45th in par 4 scoring and inside the top 40 in driving accuracy. He won’t put himself in a ton of trouble and he may even be a bit of a surprise if he can make some putts.
-END OF 2018 PICKS-
We’re flying blind into this week’s Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm. This course hasn’t hosted a PGA Tour event since 2006 and has only hosted a couple of Web.com events and a Senior PLAYERS Championship since then, so course form data is not attainable. We also have a lot of golf’s most notable names doing something else this weekend, so players normally available at lower prices are near the top of the board. It’s a tough week, but we’ll try to steer you in the right direction.
Our quest in these golf daily fantasy articles is to look for the top value picks on the board. Everybody can take the top guys and hope for the best, but it’s often that low-cost missing piece that makes all the difference in your GPPs, 50/50s, or H2H matchups.
New to daily fantasy sports? Need to reload? DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from BangTheBook Radio on Wednesdays with our resident golf betting expert Wes Reynolds, who outlines players to take a chance on for this weekend’s event. Also, we have golf previews for the PGA event each week.
David Lingmerth ($8,500) – We might as well start with the only player in the field that has experienced a win on this course. David Lingmerth won the Web.com Mid-Atlantic Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm back in 2013. The course has gotten a lot of work since then to bring it up to PGA Tour shape, but he should have a little bit of an edge over the rest of the field. It doesn’t hurt that Lingmerth has played pretty well lately with a string of three straight top-25 finishes snapped last week at the Travelers Championship when he finished 26th. Lingmerth was 21st at the US Open, 15th at the Memorial, and 12th at the Dean & DeLuca prior to last weekend’s decent showing, but a final-round 73 hurt.
Si Woo Kim ($7,500) – Consistency has been hard to find for Si Woo Kim, but he’s been one of the tour’s better players when he’s been on this season. Kim won the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass with a score of 10-under. He missed the next two cuts, but then finished 13th at the US Open a couple weeks ago. Kim actually played better than his final placement would indicate, since a final-round 75 caused him to give some strokes back and slide down the board. Kim has been extremely hit or miss with just seven made cuts in 16 events, but when he’s made the cut, he has made it count.
Daniel Summerhays ($7,200) – If it’s true that time heals all wounds, maybe enough time has passed for Daniel Summerhays to get his Memorial Tournament collapse out of his memory. Summerhays had a three-shot lead going into the final round at Muirfield Village and shot a final-round 78 to barely stay in the top 10. Since then, he’s missed a cut, finished 65th, and 43rd. Summerhays had two good rounds at the Travelers before a third-round 73. Once again, consistency has been an issue, but there is some reward attached to all this risk.
Nick Taylor ($6,700) – A whole lot of risk seems to be the theme this week, but we’ve found reasons for optimism with all of this week’s considerations. Nick Taylor fits the bill this week. When Taylor has been bad, he’s been really bad, but Taylor has made 12 of 16 cuts this season and even has three top-10 finishes mixed in. He was ninth at the AT&T Byron Nelson and eighth at the Wells Fargo Championship. At the very least, getting a fairly consistent player that has made a lot of cuts for a price point like this isn’t a bad investment.
Jim Herman ($6,800) – Jim Herman has had some really good showings and some really ugly showings. He missed the cut last week at the Travelers, but didn’t play all that badly at 2-over. He was 19th at the Memorial, 35th at the PLAYERS, 18th at the Valero Texas Open, and finished third at the Valspar Championship, including a first-round 68. Consistency has not been his thing either, but this is a new course with a weaker field than we usually see for these invitational events, so taking some home run swings and hoping to make contact isn’t the worst approach.