Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 3/25/25
At 7:30 ET on TNT, the Miami Heat (30-41) will host the Golden State Warriors (41-30) in a non-conference matchup. The Warriors (-194) are favored by 4.5 points over the Heat (+164). The over/under line for the game is 218.
This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat +4.5
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 25th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 132-128 in favor of the Warriors.
- Our projections have Stephen Curry finishing with 24 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Warriors finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.6% and knocking down 16 threes.
Is a Road Win Possible for Golden State?
The Warriors dropped to 41-30 on the season after a 124-115 loss to the Hawks on Saturday. Golden State, who were -2.5 point favorites, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 239 points went over the pre-game line of 233.5.
Atlanta’s 11-0 run early in the game put the Warriors in a hole, as they trailed 40-23 after the 1st quarter. Golden State outscored the Hawks 34-29 in the 2nd quarter but fell behind 98-81 going into the 4th. They made a push in the final period, winning it 34-26, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.
Jimmy Butler III led the Warriors with 25 points and 8 assists in their 124-115 loss to the Hawks, shooting 46.7% from the field. Moses Moody added 20 points, while Brandin Podziemski contributed 19 points and 8 rebounds, hitting 5 threes at a 62.5% clip.
The Warriors connected on 16 threes, shooting 42.1% from beyond the arc and 46.4% overall. Moody scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Jonathan Kuminga added 12 of his 16 points in the 2nd quarter.
The Warriors struggled defensively in the 1st quarter, giving up 40 points, but they tightened up as the game went on, allowing 29 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters and 26 in the 4th. Overall, they allowed 124 points on 57% shooting from the Hawks.
From beyond the arc, the Warriors gave up 15 threes on 41% shooting. They sent the Hawks to the line 18 times, where they made 11 free throws. The Warriors finished with 32 defensive rebounds, allowing 10 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks.
Will Miami Find a Way to Win at Home?
Miami improved to 30-41 on the season with a 122-105 win over the Hornets on Sunday. The Heat, favored by 7.5 points, covered the spread, and the game’s total of 227 points went over the line of 215.
After a slow start, Miami fell behind 24-9 due to a 13-0 Hornets run. However, the Heat responded by outscoring Charlotte 37-21 in the second quarter and 39-28 in the third, taking a 96-75 lead into the final period.
Andrew Wiggins was on fire in the Heat’s win over the Hornets, scoring 42 points on 76.2% shooting and hitting 6 threes at a 75% clip. Tyler Herro added 29 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter.
Miami shot 57.3% from the field, making 12 threes at 41.4%. Wiggins scored 15 points in the 3rd, while Kel’el Ware also added 8 of his 12 points in the quarter.
The Heat held the Hornets to 105 points on Sunday, with a strong defensive effort in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed just 21 points. Overall, Miami gave up 26 points in the 1st quarter, 28 in the 3rd, and 30 in the 4th.
From beyond the arc, the Heat limited Charlotte to 11 made threes on 33% shooting. The Hornets also went 12/13 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Miami recorded 10 steals and 4 blocks.