At 8:00 ET, the 10th ranked Golden State Warriors (-177) (-4) will take on the 11th ranked Houston Rockets (+144) (+4) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 227 points.

Golden State comes into this game as winners of their last 5 games and will be the favored team. Meanwhile, the Rockets have lost their last 2 games and are 3rd in the Southwest Division.


The Pick: Houston Rockets +4

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, April 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-111 in favor of the Warriors.
  • Our projections have Stephen Curry finishing with Stephen Curry points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Warriors finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 17 threes.

Are Golden State Ready for a Road Win?

Golden State has won five straight games and is currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 41-34. In the Pacific Division, they are in 5th place.

On the road, the Warriors are 22-15 this season, and they have covered the spread in four straight games on the road. Overall, they are 25-12 ATS on the road and 24-24 ATS as the favorite.

This season, the Warriors have been favored in 48 of their 75 games and have a record of 32-16 as the favorite. They have covered the spread in their last three games as the favorite.

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 36-38-1, and their games have averaged 233.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 227, and their games have averaged 231.6 points per game.

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Mavericks by a score of 104-100. The O/U line for that game was 232, and Golden State covered the spread as 1-point underdogs.

When it comes to scoring, the Warriors are 8th in the NBA at 117.8 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually scored more points on the road this season (118.0) compared to their home average (117.6).

So far this season, Golden State has outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 9th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 3rd in both three-point makes per game (14.7) and attempts per game (39.1). Overall, they are 15th in field goal percentage at 47%.

Coming into the game, the Warriors defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 49.3% of their games. Currently, they are 17th in the NBA at 115.6 points per game allowed. The Golden State defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.7% of their field goal attempts vs. Golden State.

Will the Rockets Find a Way to Win at Home?

Houston has been the underdog in 47 of their 75 games this season and have gone 15-32 in those games. As the underdog, they have lost their last two games and are 43-31 ATS for the season.

The Rockets’ O/U record for the season is 36-39, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 227, which is slightly higher than their season average of 226.6.

In their most recent game, the Rockets lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 113-106. They were 7.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them an ATS win.

For the season, Houston is 38-37 overall, which puts them in 11th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 26-21 and 9-6 against other teams in the Southwest Division.

On average, the Rockets are scoring 112.6 points per game at home, giving them a scoring margin of +6.4. Their ATS record at home is 27-11, compared to 16-20 on the road.

Today’s Matchup vs. the Warriors

The Rockets are 4-point underdogs at home against the Warriors. As the underdog, they have gone 15-32 this season. In their last two games as the underdog, they have lost straight up and ATS.

When looking at their O/U record for the season, the Rockets are 36-39, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have seen 226.6 points scored, and today’s line is set at 227.

At home, the Rockets are averaging 116.4 points per game, which is 13th in the league. For the season, they are 16th in scoring at 114.1 points per game. In terms of pace, Houston is 14th in the league at 99.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Rockets are 26th in field goal percentage at 45%. From beyond the arc, they are 23rd in three-point shooting percentage at 35%. Overall, Houston is 25th in true shooting percentage.

So far, the Rockets have made an average of 12.6 three-pointers per game, which is 16th in the league. In terms of free throws, they are 10th in the NBA with 18 made per game.

This season, the Rockets’ defense is the 10th ranked defense in the NBA at 10th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 57.3% of their games. The Rockets defense is coming off a game in which they held the Timberwolves offense to just 44.6% shooting. Overall, they gave up 113 points to Minnesota.