At 8:30 ET, the Mavericks will host the Warriors in a Western Conference matchup. Dallas (-304) is favored by 7.5 over Golden State (+244). The over/under line is set at 237.

Golden State is 10th in the West with a record of 34-30. The Mavericks are 8th in the West and have won three straight. NBCS will have the TV coverage from the American Airlines Center.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -7.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Wednesday, March 13th.

WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 121-112 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.6% and knocking down 17 threes.

Do the Warriors Have a Shot at a Road Win?

The Warriors are 6-16 as the underdog this season and have an ATS record of 14-7 as the underdog. On average, they have been the underdog by 4.5 points and have gone 22-22-1 ATS as the underdog.

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 31-32-1, and 46 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 237. On average, their games have scored 235.4 points.

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Spurs by a score of 112-102. The O/U line for that game was 226.5, and Golden State covered the spread as 5-point favorites.

Overall, the Warriors are 34-30 this season, which is 10th in the Western Conference. Against the Western Conference, they are 17-22 and 5-9 against other teams in the Pacific Division.

This season, the Warriors have an ATS record of 35-28, including a road ATS record of 21-9. Currently, they are 9th in the Western Conference with a 17-13 record on the road.

Golden State’s offense is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 3rd in both three-pointers made and attempted. On average, they are making 14.9 threes per game and have a three-point shooting percentage of 37%.

When it comes to scoring, the Warriors are 7th in the league at 118.5 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 7th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game.

So far this season, Golden State has outscored the league average in 60.9% of their games. However, they have scored below their season average in their last two games and are 16th in field goal percentage at 47%.

So far, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 18th in the league at 116.8 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 54.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.0% of their three-point attempts.

Can the Mavericks Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

The Mavericks are 37-28 this season and have won three straight games. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 8th place and are 2nd in the Southwest Division.

As the favorite, the Mavericks have won three straight games and are 28-11 as the favorite this season. Today, they are favored by 7.5 points. In their games as the favorite, the Mavs have gone 24-15 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.4 points per game.

Dallas’ most recent win came against the Bulls, where they won by a score of 127-92. The O/U line for that game was 232.5, and the Mavericks covered the spread (-3.5).

This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 33-32, and their games have averaged a combined 237 points. In their non-conference games, the average O/U line has been 236.2.

On the ATS, the Mavericks have covered the spread in three straight games and have an overall record of 35-30. At home, they are 15-19 ATS while going 20-11 ATS on the road.

This season, the Mavericks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA. They are 2nd in three-point attempts per game (40) and 2nd in made threes (14.9). Overall, they are 12th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

At home, Dallas is averaging 120.1 points per game, which is 8th in the league. On the season, they are 6th in scoring at 119.1 points per game.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Mavericks are 5th in the NBA at 57%. However, they are just 23rd in two-pointers made per game and 28th in two-point attempts.

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 23rd in the league at 117.8 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Mavericks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.7% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.8% from downtown.