Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction 01/03/18

 
Wednesday, 01/03/2018 at 08:35 pm GOLDEN STATE (30-8) at DALLAS (13-26)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
717GOLDEN STATE 220 115.4 105.8 30-8 17-21-0 20-18-0 50.9% 81.7% 39.1% 43.2% 75.5% 36.3%
718DALLAS +7 101.6 103.9 13-26 20-19-0 18-20-1 45% 77% 37% 46.5% 78% 36.3%

Last Updated: 2018-01-03

The NBA’s top shooting defense will be on the road at American Airlines Center, when the Golden State Warriors (29-8) face off with the Dallas Mavericks (13-25). Action gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest.

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds

Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Mavericks won a close one over the Oklahoma City Thunder 116-113, while the Warriors were victorious over the Memphis Grizzlies 141-128.

The Warriors made 23 of their 25 free throws (92.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.694 (above their season average of 0.572). The Mavericks, meanwhile, had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 6.9 (better than their season average of 12.0) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.601 (above their season average of 0.516). Dallas was lifted by J.J. Barea, who finished with 12 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds. Stephen Curry, meanwhile led the way for Golden State, finishing with 38 points.

Dallas might struggle to score as they battle against one of the league’s best defenses. Golden State ranks third in defensive efficiency, while the Mavericks rank 21st in offensive efficiency.

Games involving the Warriors have finished over the total 51.4 percent of the time. Golden State comes into the game with records of 29-8 straight up (SU) and 17-20 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Golden State, just over half of Mavericks games have finished under the projected point total. Further, Dallas is 13-25 SU and 19-19 ATS.

Dirk Nowitzki has taken his game to another level recently for Dallas, averaging 16.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 1.2 blocks over the last five games.

In their two matchups this season, the Warriors have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 209 points, just under the projected point total of 210. Golden State won 112-97, covering as a 10-point favorite. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.673 vs. 0.512). Dallas, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (13-17; 76.5 percent). Kevin Durant put up a double-double in the victory with 36 points and 11 rebounds.

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Warriors rank ninth in rebounds per game (44.8) while the Mavericks rank 25th (40.7).

Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (21.8) while Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).

The Mavericks rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while the Warriors rank 26th (18.8).

Dallas ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.7) while Golden State ranks 19th (45.1).

Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.5) while Dallas ranks 18th (22.2).

The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 27th (3.8).

The Warriors rank ninth in steals per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 26th (6.6).

Dallas averages 31.9 three pointers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (29.0).

Dallas ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (10.6) while Golden State ranks 27th (13.8).

When holding opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 10-2 and Dallas is 10-8.

The Mavericks are 8-10 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 26-5.

Golden State is 8-9 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 9-10 ATS at home.

The total has gone under in 10 of the Mavericks’ 19 home games, while 10 of the Warriors’ 17 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.

In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.

During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (8.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (3.0 above their season average).

The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 9.8 for the season.

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