Last Updated: 2019-12-04
The Golden State Warriors (4-18) will attempt to snap a five-game road losing streak when they square off against the Charlotte Hornets (8-14) at Spectrum Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 208 points with Charlotte set as a 4-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area.
Golden State Warriors vs. Charlotte Hornets Odds Preview
The Warriors were blown out by the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup, 104-79. They were unable to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. With 24 points on 9-for-11 shooting, Eric Paschall led Golden State in scoring. Atlanta forced the Warriors into a turnover percentage of 20.7 (above their season average of 11.9). Golden State, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 40.0 (above their season average of 22.3). The two teams combined to score 183 points, which was well under the projected point total of 222.5.
In the Hornets’ previous matchup, they were beaten by the Phoenix Suns, 109-104, and were unable to cover as 4-point underdogs. With 15 points and 13 assists, Charlotte’s Devonte’ Graham had a good performance. Phoenix had a turnover percentage of 6.5 (better than their season average of 12.5). Charlotte, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.4). The two squads combined to score 213 points, which came in under the O/U total of 222.
Getting to the line might be rare for Charlotte in this matchup. The Hornets rank 24th in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.178, while Golden State ranks eighth in FTA rate allowed (0.183).
Of Golden State’s 22 games, 11 have finished over the O/U total, while 12 of Charlotte’s 22 games have finished over the projected point total. The Hornets have the clear advantage straight up (SU) (8-14 vs. 4-18) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (11-11 vs. 10-12).
These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 180 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 221. The Hornets won 93-87, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The Hornets played a nearly perfect game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 31.4 and a turnover percentage of 11.2. For those same stats, the Warriors were 13.5 and 17.9, respectively. Dwayne Bacon had a stellar game, with 25 points and six rebounds.
Warriors at Hornets Prediction
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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The Warriors rank 15th in assists per game (24.0) while the Hornets rank 28th in assists allowed per game (28.0).
Golden State ranks 21st in blocks per game (4.7) while Charlotte ranks 25th (4.1).
Golden State ranks 14th in points off turnovers (17.6 per game) while Charlotte ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed (18.8 per game).
Golden State is 6-7 ATS on the road, while Charlotte is 5-5 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 7 of the Warriors’ 13 road games, while 6 of the Hornets’ 10 home games have gone under.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 2-1 and Charlotte is 1-0.
When scoring over 100 points, the Warriors are 4-11 and the Hornets are 7-8.
The Warriors rank 22nd in rebounds per game (43.6) while the Hornets rank 29th (41.8).
Golden State ranks 11th in steals per game (7.9) while Charlotte ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
The Hornets rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (35.0) while the Warriors rank 27th (28.6).
Charlotte averages 48.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Golden State ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.6).
Charlotte is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five outings, Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 8.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 96.2 points per game (9.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (11.9 below their season average).