The 2022 NBA Finals continue Friday, June 10, 2022, with Game 4 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts, so here’s the best Warriors vs. Celtics betting pick along with the latest odds update on BetDSI Sportsbook.
The Celtics opened as 4-point home favorites with a total of 214.5 points, while the Warriors sat at +145 moneyline odds. Boston defeated Golden State 116-100 as a 3.5-point home fave in Game 3 this past Thursday to grab a 2-1 lead in the series.
The Warriors need better defense
After a fourth-quarter meltdown in Game 1 when the Warriors surrendered 40 points in the final 12 minutes, Golden State shut down the Celtics 107-88 in Game 2 to tie the series. Last Thursday, the Warriors yielded 68 first-half points, while their offense collapsed in the fourth quarter.
Golden State scored a paltry 11 points in the final 12 minutes of Game 3. Stephen Curry suffered a minor injury, but it could not be an excuse for the team’s lousy performance. Curry finished with 31 points, four rebounds, and only two assists, while Klay Thompson added 25 points and three assists.
The Warriors allowed the Celtics to make 48.3% of their field goals and 37.1% of their 3-pointers (13-for-35). They also surrendered a whopping 15 offensive rebounds while posting six in a return.
The Celtics outmuscled the Dubs in Game 3
The Boston Celtics have relied on their defense and physicality all postseason long. Their approach led to a comfortable victory last Thursday, as the Celtics held the Warriors to 22 assists while forcing 17 turnovers. Furthermore, Boston outscored Golden State 52-26 in the paint, and I’ve already mentioned those 15 offensive rebounds.
The Celtics handed out 28 assists and turned the ball over only 12 times. Jaylen Brown led the way with 27 points, nine rebounds, and five assists. Jayson Tatum had 26 points and nine dimes, while Marcus Smart added 24 points, seven boards, and five dishes.
Al Horford bounced back from his two-point dud in Game 2, accounting for 11 points on 5-for-7 shooting from the field. He also had eight boards and six dimes, while Payton Pritchard posted a plus-15 net rating in just ten minutes on the floor.
- 1-6-1 ATS in the last eight games against Boston
- 1-6 ATS in the last seven games on the road
- 5-2 ATS in the last seven games overall
- 4-1-1 ATS in the last six home games against Golden State
Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics Pick
I’m expecting a much closer game this time around. The Warriors have plenty of experience and should know how to keep it tight, but the Celtics will come out on top if they continue to play aggressive basketball on both sides of the court.
Boston also needs to take good care of the ball, as Golden State will certainly put more pressure on it in Game 4. The line is a tricky one at four points and it could easily go either way. You never know what can happen in the final few minutes if Steph Curry stays healthy.
Pick: Take Boston Celtics -4.0 at -110
The under is 12-4 in the last 16 encounters between the Warriors and Celtics, but two out of three games in this series have gone over the total. The teams have averaged just 95.2 possessions per 48 minutes over the previous three dates, so I’ll go with the under.
Golden State continues to lean on 3-pointers. If they want to beat the Celtics, the Warriors will have to play tough defense and slow down things a bit on the offensive end.
Pick: Go under 214.5 points at -110