2018-19 Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

Last Updated: 2018-08-23

golden state warriors season previewThe Golden State Warriors were on the verge of elimination in that seventh game of the Western Conference Finals against the Houston Rockets, but they managed to pull through and then sweep the Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA Finals. It was their second consecutive championship, the third in the last four years, and the Warriors look ready to extend the streak in the 2018-19 NBA season. The futures odds and season props on the Warriors are already available on BetDSI Sportsbook, so let’s take a closer look and see what can the bettors expect from Golden State in this term.

Golden State Warriors Futures Odds

Win Total Over/Under at 63.5: Over +115; Under -135
To Win the Pacific Division at -1450
To Win the Western Conference at -240
To Win the NBA Championship at -168
To Make NBA Playoffs: YES -25000, NO +3300 (Bet365 Sportsbook)

Golden State Warriors Player Movement

Draft: Jacob Evans (No. 28 Pick)

Added: DeMarcus Cousins (free agency, New Orleans Pelicans), Jonas Jerebko (free agency, Utah Jazz)

Lost: Zaza Pachulia (signed with Detroit Pistons), JaVale McGee (signed with Los Angeles Lakers)

Unrestricted Free Agents: David West, Nick Young

The Golden State Warriors selected the 21-year old versatile wing Jacob Evans with the 28th overall pick at the 2018 NBA Draft. Evans spent three years at the University of Cincinnati, averaging 11.7 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 2.5 assists while shooting 42.7% from the field. Has a great two-way potential, and is capable of covering multiple positions which were the best recommendation to join the Warriors. Evans is active on both ends of the floor, and he’s doing a lot of his damage with set shots, but he’s also dangerous with the ball in his hands, possessing some solid playmaking skills. Could get some minutes in his rookie season, especially when the Warriors would need to tighten up their defense.

The Warriors lost a couple of big men this summer, as Zaza Pachulia joined the Pistons, while JaVale McGee moved to Los Angeles to join LeBron and the Lakers, but the replacement is a bombshell, and its’ name is DeMarcus Cousins. The 28-year old four-time All-Star decided to leave New Orleans and join the Warriors on a $5.3 million one-year contract. Cousins is still recovering from the Achilles tendon injury that ended his last season in January, and the 5th overall pick from the 2010 NBA Draft shouldn’t be ready to return until the end of 2018.

However, when he gets ready to come back, the Warriors will have five All-Stars in their starting lineup, and despite the fact that Boogie shouldn’t be recording 25, 12, and 5 like he did it prior to the injury, the Warriors will be an incredibly strong team. Cousins is a dominant force in the paint on both sides of the ball, but we’ll still have to wait, as a torn Achilles tendon ended up so many careers.

Golden State Warriors 2018-19 Roster

Kevin Durant re-signed with the Warriors and he will lead his teammates for another two years. In the previous two seasons, the nine-time All-Star was a key player, averaging 25.7 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 5.1 assists on 52.5% shooting from the field and 40.0% from beyond the arc. Durant won the NBA Finals MVP Award two times in a row, while in the last post-season, he recorded 29.0 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 4.7 assists in 38.4 minutes per game, shooting 48.7% from the field and 34.1% from downtown. Durantula was the Warriors’ first scoring option, but he was also an invaluable part of their defense. For the 2018-19 NBA season, Durant is set as a +900 fave to win the MVP Award with five guys ahead of him on the list.

Stephen Curry will enter his 10th season in the Warriors uniform, and he was terrific last year, averaging 26.4 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game while hitting 49.5% of his field goals and 42.3% of 3-pointers. Curry set his career high with 92.1% from the free-throw line, but he had some injury problems missing 31 games during the regular season. The five-time All-Star appeared in 15 games during the post-season to record 25.5 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game.

Klay Thompson will continue to contribute as a third scoring option for the Warriors starting at shooting guard, but when a four-time All-Star is your third offensive option, it means you have a hack of the team. Big Smokey played 73 games last season, tallying 20.0 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 2.5 assists in 34.3 minutes per game while shooting 48.8% from the field and 44.0% from beyond the arc which was the fourth-best record in the league. In the playoffs, Klay averaged 19.6 points and 4.1 rebounds on 42.7% shooting from beyond the arc, nailing 35 points in the Western Conference Finals sixth game victory over the Houston Rockets.

Draymond Green is another vital part of the Golden State Warriors’ starting five, as the three-time All-Star is a key defensive stopper who also play an important role at the defensive end with his screens and brilliant passing skills. Last year, Green was leading the Warriors in assists (7.1) and rebounds (7.6) while averaging 11.0 points on 45.4% shooting from the field, also recording 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. Draymond does all the little things on both sides of the court, and his presence in essential for KD and other guys in the team.

While DeMarcus Cousins is absent, the Warriors should play a small ball a lot, but the 23-year old center Jordan Bell will get some minutes after playing in 57 games last year to record 4.6 points and 3.6 rebounds per game. Kevon Looney will also be a part of the Warriors rotation, playing 66 games last season with 4.0 points and 3.3 rebounds per game. However, the most important player off the bench will be a one-time All-Star Andre Iguodala whose defensive skills are invaluable for the Warriors. Iguodala can guard anyone and switch literally everything, and almost every time when he’s sidelined, the Warriors are having problems to defend on the highest level. Last year, Iguodala averaged 6.0 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.3 assists in 25.3 minutes per game.

Players Under Contract:

Stephen Curry (PG), Shaun Livingston (PG), Quinn Cook (PG)
Klay Thompson (SG), Jacob Evans (SG-SF)
Kevin Durant (SF), Andre Iguodala (SF)
Draymond Green (PF), Kevon Looney (PF), Jonas Jerebko (PF)
DeMarcus Cousins (C), Jordan Bell (C), Damian Jones (C)

Win Total Prediction and Betting Picks

The Golden State Warriors finished second in the Western Conference last season with a 58-24 record (29-12 at home, 29-12 on the road), winning the Pacific Division title way ahead of the Los Angeles Clippers. Although they had ups and downs during the regular season, the Warriors found their A game in the playoffs, particularly in those last two games against the Houston Rockets. This time, the bookies set the line on the total win at 62.5 games, and the bettors will have a difficult task to nail the winner. Even if DeMarcus Cousins return earlier than it’s expected, the Warriors don’t need to strive hard until the post-season begins. However, they possess a sheer talent among their roster, so I think the Warriors will be around that 63-win mark.

According to 5Dimes Sportsbook, the Golden State Warriors are runaway favorites to win the 2019 NBA Championship with the odds at -168, while the wages are set at -240 on winning the Western Conference. If they stay healthy for the most important games of the season, the Warriors should be in the NBA Finals for the fifth straight year. I’m not going to say they will win another championship, but I would like to see someone else at the top, although it would be a mountain to climb for all other contenders including the Houston Rockets, the Boston Celtics, and LeBron James’ LA Lakers.

The Pick: Over 63.5 (+115)

Prediction: NBA Finals

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