The NBA’s top scoring team will be 5-point favorites on the road at BMO Harris Bradley Center, when the Golden State Warriors (33-9) meet the Milwaukee Bucks (22-18). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222 points and it will air on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 12, 2018.
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
In their last contest, the Bucks defeated the Orlando Magic, 110-103, while the Warriors were blown out by the Los Angeles Clippers, 125-106.
Milwaukee played a nearly flawless game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 27.8 (above their season average of 18.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.580 (above their season average of 0.538). Orlando was 18.2 and 0.478, respectively, for those same stats. Golden State, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (22-26; 84.6 percent). Giannis Antetokounmpo played well for Milwaukee with 26 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Kevin Durant had a good outing for Golden State, putting up 40 points.
This matchup pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesMilwaukee currently ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.539), while Golden State is second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.494). It will also be a tale of two styles as the up-and-down Warriors rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Bucks rank 25th.
Games including the Warriors have typically finished over the O/U total (57.1 percent). Golden State holds records of 33-9 straight up (SU) and 19-22-1 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Golden State, games including the Bucks also have typically finished over the total (60.0 percent). Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 22-18 SU and 18-17-5 ATS.
The Warriors’ Draymond Green has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 14.0 points, 8.4 rebounds and 7.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 14.6 points during that same time frame for the Bucks.
The Warriors dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent matchup, Golden State won 117-92. Golden State did an excellent job of making free throws (15-19; 78.9 percent). Milwaukee, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 12.6). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
The Warriors average 30.7 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Bucks rank 13th in assists allowed per game (22.4).
Milwaukee ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Golden State ranks 29th (8.8).
The Bucks rank sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 25th (18.6).
Golden State ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (30.0) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (24.4).
Milwaukee ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while Golden State ranks 25th (13.7).
The Bucks rank first in fast break points allowed per game (7.9) while the Warriors rank 26th (13.8).
The Bucks rank sixth in points in the paint per game (48.0) while the Warriors rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (46.0).
Both of these teams are great at blocking the ball. Golden State leads the league with 8.3 blocks per game while Milwaukee is fifth with 5.2 blocks per game.
Golden State ranks eighth in rebounds per game (44.8) while Milwaukee ranks last (38.6).
Golden State is 10-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Milwaukee is 8-2.
The Bucks are 18-11 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 30-6.
Golden State is 10-10 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 8-10-3 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 13 of the Warriors’ 20 road games, while 12 of the Bucks’ 21 home games have gone over.
The Warriors are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-3.
In their last five games, Golden State has 5 overs, while Milwaukee has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 9.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 109.6 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average).