ESPN2 will air this week 12 CFB game between the Panthers and Tigers at 8:00 (11/18/23). The game is slated for Tiger Stadium (LA) in Baton Rouge (LA). LSU is set to take on the Panthers in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 32 at home. Read on for my thoughts and betting angles.
GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS VS LSU TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Georgia State Panthers +32
This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 18th.
WHY BET THE GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 51-20 in favor of LSU.
- Even though we have LSU winning straight-up, we like Georgia State at +32.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 71.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 71 points.
No Pressure for Georgia State as Away Dogs
The Georgia State Panthers take on the LSU with a 6-4 record, including 3-1 on the road and 2-3 at home.
Georgia State’s average scoring differential for the season is -1.7 leading to an ATS mark of 5-4. The Panthers have been favored five times and the underdog in three games
This season, Georgia State holds an over/under record of 4-5. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 55.9 points, with the typical over/under line set at 56.8 points.
On offense, the Panthers come in with the 79th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 199.5 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 26th in terms of attempts.
On defense, Georgia State comes into the game ranked 39th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 34.1 times per contest vs. the Panthers. Overall, they are giving up 28.8 points per game, which is 116th in college football. Against the run, they are 79th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.
Is a Home Win Possible for the Tigers?
So far, the LSU Tigers are 7-3, including going 2-3 on the road and 4-0 at home.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Georgia State, the Tigers have been favored in eight games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 5-4.
Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in LSU’s matchups has been 60.5 points. These games have had an average combined score of 74.8 points, leading to an OU record of 9-0.
On offense, LSU comes into the game averaging 45.9, which is 3rd in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 336.4 passing yards (5th) compared to 6th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 351 rushing attempts per contest.
The Tigers defense faces off against Georgia State with 20 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 28.9 points per game which is 117th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 127th in the NCAA, allowing 243.8 passing yards per game. LSU’s run defense is yielding 173.6 rushing yards per contest.