Georgia Southern vs. Troy College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Georgia Southern Eagles (-3) and Troy Trojans will go at it on the turf at Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to get going at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can witness the action live on ESPN+.

Georgia Southern at Troy Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Georgia Southern is giving up 3 points in this SBC game. The Eagles are currently getting -155 moneyline odds while the Trojans are +135. The over/under has been set at 56 points, and there will likely be some solid in-game betting opportunities in this contest.

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The early action has shifted in favor of the Eagles, as the opening line was 1. The total has not changed after being set initially at 56.

The Eagles are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against conference opponents. The Trojans are 3-5 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play. The profitable Eagles are 3-4-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 5.8 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-3.

The lackluster Trojans have lost 4.8 units this season. The team is 2-6 ATS and also has an O/U record of 5-3.

Troy enters this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Georgia Southern has lost each of its last zero. The Eagles are coming off a 24-21 win over Appalachian State last week. The Eagles defense allowed the Mountaineers to run for 152 yards on 30 rush attempts. Offensively, the Eagles completed 1-of-4 passes for 16 yards. Shai Werts went one-for-4 for 16 yards while NaJee Thompson completed -of- for yards. J.D. King (69 yards on 21 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Werts (83 yards on 13 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running attack. Mark Michaud (one receptions, 16 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

A week ago, Coastal Carolina knocked off this Troy crew by a score of 36-35. Kaleb Barker completed 26-of-35 passes for 385 yards and three touchdowns. DK Billingsley (83 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and the signal-caller Barker (eight yards on 11 carries, one TD) handled the running attack while Kaylon Geiger (12 receptions, 145 yards, one TD) and Reggie Todd (four catches, 89 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Georgia Southern has run the ball on 85.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Troy has a rush percentage of 46.9 percent. The Eagles have produced 270 rush yards/game (including 292 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Trojans are putting up 144 rushing yards per contest (138 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

Based on the results this season, it appears the Eagles ought to own an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their backfield has logged 5.1 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.6 YPC to opponents. The Trojans have tallied 4.1 yards per carry and given up 3.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Eagles have averaged 45 yards through the air overall (48 per game versus conference opposition) and have two passing scores so far. The Trojans have recorded 319 pass yards per game (350.5 in the SBC) and have 21 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Georgia Southern should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 136 rush yards and 216 pass yards per game. Troy has allowed 142.6 yards per game on the ground and 275 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Eagles have given up an ANY/A of 7.22 to opposing QBs, while the Trojans are yielding an ANY/A of 7.58.

Werts is up to 192 pass yards this year. He’s connected on 21-of-44 attempts with two passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Werts has a 3.78 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.38 over the last two games.

Kaleb Barker has put up 2,055 yards, 19 TDs and six INTs for Troy. His ANY/A sits at 7.68 for the season and 9.63 across his past two games.

When these two schools faced each other a year ago, Troy won by two touchdowns 35-21.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Troy, ATS Winner – Troy, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The Eagles offense has registered one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Trojans have put up seven such plays.

The Georgia Southern defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Troy has given up 13 such plays.

The Georgia Southern offense has created 23 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Troy has created six such runs.

The Eagles defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Trojans have given up six such runs.

The Troy D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 18 times this year. Georgia Southern has recorded just 12 sacks.

As a team, Georgia Southern has averaged 5.9 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 6.6 over its last two.

Troy has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.8 over its past two.

In its last three contests, Troy is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Georgia Southern’s last game going into it was 42. The over cashed in the team’s 24-21 victory over Appalachian State.

Over its last three matchups, Georgia Southern is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Troy’s last matchup was set at 61. The over cashed in the 36-35 defeat to Coastal Carolina.

Troy has dropped five of its last six games SU, with a 24-point triumph over South Alabama on October 16th representing the lone win over that span.

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