Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the George Washington Colonials (8-6, 1-0 A10) travel to Duquesne to take on the Dukes (10-4, 1-0 A10). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 131.5 points and action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
George Washington Colonials vs. Duquesne Dukes ATS Odds
Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Dukes defeated the Dayton Flyers 70-62, while the Colonials beat the Saint Joseph’s Hawks 70-64.
The Colonials had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 34.3 (above their season average of 32.7) and held the Hawks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.404 (below their season average of 0.476). Meanwhile, Duquesne’s 0.353 free throw rate was their largest strength over Dayton, who had a rate of 0.143. The Dukes’ mark was above their season average of 0.283, while the Flyers’ was below their season average of 0.224. Eric Williams Jr. had a solid performance for Duquesne with 15 points and seven rebounds. Arnaldo Toro had a good game for George Washington, putting up 10 points and 12 rebounds.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the nation’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Duquesne currently ranks 331st in possessions per game (66.2) and George Washington is 340th (64.9).
Vegas tends to set the total high when the Colonials are involved, as six of their 10 games have gone under the O/U total. George Washington heads into the game with records of 8-6 straight up (SU) and 5-5 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Dukes also have a tendency to go under the projected point total (83.3 percent). Additionally, Duquesne owns records of 10-4 SU and 3-3 ATS.
The Colonials dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last matchup, George Washington won 77-70. George Washington’s 0.311 free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Duquesne, who had a rate of 0.267. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
George Washington Colonials vs. Duquesne Dukes Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – George Washington, ATS Winner – George Washington, O/U – Under
Duquesne ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while George Washington ranks 94th (6.3).
The Dukes are 33rd in the nation with 2.6 blocks allowed per game while the Colonials are 41st with 2.7 blocks allowed per game.
Duquesne averages 37.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 81st in the NCAA. George Washington ranks 83rd in rebounds allowed per game (33.6).
The Colonials rank 30th in assists allowed per game (11.1) while the Dukes rank 71st (12.1).
Duquesne ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (16.9) while George Washington ranks 22nd (18.0).
Duquesne is 2-1 ATS at home, while George Washington is 2-3 ATS on the road.
The Colonials have 3 unders and 2 overs in 5 road games.
In 3 home games, the Dukes have 2 unders and 1 over.
The Dukes are 2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Colonials are 2-2.
In their last five games, Duquesne has 3 unders, while George Washington has 3 unders and 1 over.
During their last five games, the Dukes have scored an average of 68.0 points per game (4.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.6 points per game (1.0 above their season average).
The Colonials’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 1.4 for the season.