Planning on watching today’s Patriots and Minutemen game? Catch the action at William D. Mullins Memorial Center in Amherst, MA, as the Minutemen hosts this showdown at 12:00 ET on ESPN+. This Atlantic 10 conference matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points, and Massachusetts is favored to win by -4 at home vs. George Mason.


The Pick: Massachusetts Minutemen -4

This game will be played at William D. Mullins Memorial Center at 12:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Minutemen.
  • Not only will Massachusetts pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can George Mason Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

George Mason comes into this game as a 4-point underdog, and they have gone 2-3 as the underdog this season. They are 15-6 overall, including 4-4 in Atlantic 10 play.

On the road, the Patriots have gone 4-4 this season, and they are currently on a three-game losing streak away from home. For the year, their average scoring margin on the road is -1.8 points per game.

George Mason’s ATS record this season is 11-8-1, and they have gone 3-2 vs. the spread in their last 5 games as the underdog. On the road, the Patriots’ ATS mark is 5-3 this year and they are 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

George Mason’s over/under record this season is 11-9 and today’s line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (140.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points compared to their season average of 140.8.

In their recent matchup, the George Mason offense ended with 73 points against Saint Joseph’s. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.9% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Patriots have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 121st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 159th in percentage and 217th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Patriots’ defense is nationally ranked 67th, allowing 67.0 points per game. So far, the George Mason defense is giving up an average of 8.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.8 times per game (465th).

Taking a Look at the Minutemen Chances at Home

Massachusetts enters tonight’s game against George Mason as a four-point favorite. The Minutemen are 12-5 this season when favored, including a record of 10-3 at home.

UMass has been even better at home recently, going 8-2 over their last 10 games at home. In their most recent game, the Minutemen defeated Saint Louis, 84-73.

As the favorite, UMass has gone 11-6 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Minutemen have a mark of 6-4 vs. the spread. In their last 10 home games, UMass has gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

UMass has an over/under record of 11-8-1 this season, and the average scoring total in their games is 153.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (150.6). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-1-1 and the average scoring total is 152 points.

The Massachusetts offense is coming off a game in which they scored 84 points vs. Saint Louis. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.5% while connecting on 7 threes. Matt Cross led the team in scoring, putting up 19 points. Additionally, Rahsool Diggins contributed 15 points for the Minutemen.

In terms of defense, Massachusetts is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. In their most recent game, the Massachusetts defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Saint Louis knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 73 points.