Looking to win big? The Runnin’ Bulldogs and Spartans face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Spartans are hosting the game at Hodge Center in Spartanburg, SC. Gardner-Webb is favored by -2.5 in this Big South conference contest against USC Upstate. The game’s over/under currently sits at 143.5 points.


The Pick: USC Upstate Spartans +2.5

This game will be played at Hodge Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Not only will USC Upstate pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can the Runnin’ Bulldogs Lock in a Road Win?

Through 26 games, Gardner-Webb has a record of 12-14. In Big South play, the Runnin’ Bulldogs are 7-4, while they are 5-10 in non-conference games.

As the favorite, Gardner-Webb is 6-4 this season, and they have been the underdog 13 times, going 3-10. On the road, the Runnin’ Bulldogs have a record of 4-10, and their average scoring margin is -4.9 points per game.

Against the spread this season, Gardner-Webb’s record is 13-10. On the road, they have gone 8-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have an ATS mark of 5-5. In their last three road games, Gardner-Webb has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Gardner-Webb games sits at 16-7. Currently, the average point total in their games is 147.8, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line of 143.8. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 151 points.

The Gardner-Webb offense is coming off a game in which they scored 85 points vs. Charleston Southern. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.3% while connecting on 8 threes. Caleb Robinson is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, DQ Nicholas brings a PPG average of 12 into the game.

Gardner-Webb’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.3 points per game. In their most recent game, the Gardner-Webb defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Charleston Southern knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 77 points.

Does USC Upstate Stand a Chance at Home?

USC Upstate enters this game as a 2.5-point underdog, and for the season, they have been the underdog in 21 of their 25 games. Their record as the underdog is 5-16, and they are 9-16 overall, including a 4-8 mark in Big South action.

At home, the Spartans have gone just 2-5 this season, and their average scoring margin is -5.6 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5, and they are coming off an 86-81 win over High Point.

USC Upstate has an ATS record of 11-11 this season. At home, they are 3-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Spartans have gone 10-11 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, USC Upstate has a mark of 6-4.

Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is similar to the average over/under line in USC Upstate’s games this season (142.4). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

USC Upstate is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 86 points versus High Point. This output is higher than their season-average of 71.9 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Trae Broadnax, who holds an average of 14.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Justin Bailey is averaging 11.8 points per game this season.

Coming into today’s game, the USC Upstate defense is giving up an average of 73.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.1 threes per game vs. Gardner-Webb. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.1%.