Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Aggies. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on MWN, and it’s hosted by the Aggies at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT. Get ready to place your bets! This Mountain West conference matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points, and the Aggies are favored to win at home vs. the Bulldogs.
FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS UTAH STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +13.5
This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Aggies.
- Even though we have Utah State winning straight-up, we like Fresno State at +13.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will the Bulldogs Defense Show Up on the Road?
Heading into tonight’s game, Fresno State is 8-9 overall and 1-3 in Mountain West play. On the road, the Bulldogs are just 1-4 this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -10.8. They have lost their last two games away from home and are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
So far this season, Fresno State has been the underdog in seven of their 17 games, and they are 0-7 in those games. In their last game, the Bulldogs beat San Jose State 85-82, and their record this season when favored is 7-2.
As the underdog this season, Fresno State has an ATS record of just 1-6 and an overall ATS mark of 6-10. However, over their last 3 road games, the Bulldogs have gone 2-1 vs. the spread and their road ATS record for the year is 2-3. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Fresno State has an ATS mark of 2-8.
Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Fresno State’s games this year (138.6). So far, 15 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s total. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points. This year, the over/under record in Fresno State’s games is 9-7.
The Fresno State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 85 points vs. San Jose State. Overall their field goal percentage was 55% while connecting on 11 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Isaiah Hill with 24 points. Donavan Yap also added 13 points for the Bulldogs.
The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 179th nationally, allowing an average of 72.6 points per contest. So far, the Fresno State defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.1 times per game (658th).
Will the Aggies Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?
Utah State has been absolutely dominant at home this season, winning all eight of their games by an average of 14.2 points per game. They have also won their last 10 games at home and are 10-0 in their last 10 games at home.
Overall, Utah State has been on a roll, winning 14 straight games and going 16-2 on the season. They have also been perfect as the favorite, going 14-0.
Utah State has an ATS record of 9-6 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 5-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
Utah State’s over/under record for the season is 9-6 and today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (144). So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 166 points.
The Utah State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 87 points vs. UNLV. Overall their field goal percentage was 48.2% while connecting on 10 threes. Great Osobor is leading the team in scoring at 18.7 points per contest. Ian Martinez has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.6 going into the game.
At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 91st in the country, permitting 68.3 points per game. In today’s game vs. Fresno State, the Utah State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Utah State made 23 free-throws vs. the Aggies.