Looking to win big? The Bulldogs and Dons face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Dons are hosting the game at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 131.5 points, and the Dons are favored to win at home vs. the Bulldogs.
FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS SAN FRANCISCO DONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +11.5
This game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium at 8:00 ET on Friday, December 22nd.
WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Dons.
- Even though we have San Francisco winning straight-up, we like Fresno State at +11.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will Fresno State Make it Happen on the Road?
Fresno State comes into today’s game with a 6-5 overall record. Looking back at their last ten road games, Fresno State has gone 2-8 on the road, going back to last year. Fresno State has a sub-.500 ATS record thus far, sitting at 1-5. In their previous five games, they are 2-3 vs. the spread.
So far, Fresno State’s games have averaged 149 points per game with the average over/under line being 141.5 points. The Bulldogs’ last five games have finished with a combined 139 points per game and an over/under record of 3-2.
Fresno State offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 56 points against BYU. In that game, they made 4/12 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 46.8%. Isaiah Hill led the scoring for the Bulldogs, contributing 14 points. Additionally, Jalen Weaver chipped in with 10 points.
On the defensive side, Fresno State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.2 points per game. Fresno State’s three-point defense is currently 93rd in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.0% of their shots vs. Fresno State.
Does San Francisco Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
Today, the Dons will play their 14th game of the season against Fresno State. So far this year, San Francisco has a record of 9-4. In away games, they have gone 1-3, while at home they have a record of 4-1. San Francisco enters the game with a solid against-the-spread (ATS) record of 7-2, which is above .500. When playing away from home, the Dons have a 3-1 record vs. the spread, while they are 4-1 ATS in home games.
Through 13 games, San Francisco has an over/under record of 1-8-0 with their games averaging a combined 130.2 points per game so far. The Dons’ have recorded an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 122 points per game.
In their most recent game, the San Francisco offense concluded with only 53 points against Utah State. Throughout the game, they made 5/20 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 40.4%. Offensively, the Dons hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 73rd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 253rd in terms of percentage and 144th in three-pointers made.
San Francisco’s defense has been playing well, ranking 14th nationally, with 60.4 points allowed per game. In today’s game vs. Fresno State, the San Francisco defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, San Francisco made 20 free-throws vs. the Dons.