Betting on today’s Bulldogs and Lobos game? Catch the action at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM, as the Lobos hosts this showdown at 10:30 ET on FS1. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have New Mexico as the -18.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 152 points.


The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +18.5

This game will be played at The Pit at 10:30 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like Fresno State at +18.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Fresno State Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Coming into tonight’s game, Fresno State is 11-18 overall and 4-11 in Mountain West play. The Bulldogs have lost four straight, including their most recent game against Nevada by a score of 74-66. On the road this season, Fresno State is 3-8, and their average scoring margin is -9.3 points per game. Over their last ten road games, the Bulldogs are 3-7.

As an underdog this season, Fresno State is 2-15, and they have been the underdog in 17 of their 29 games. So far, the Bulldogs have gone 8-2 when they are favored. Their record in non-conference games is 7-7, and they have gone 7-9 at home compared to 3-8 on the road.

As the underdog this season, Fresno State has an ATS record of 6-11 and an overall ATS mark of 12-15. Their road ATS record is 5-6 and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 6-4.

So far this season, the over/under record for Fresno State games is 16-11 and today’s line of 152 is higher than the average OU line of 137.9. However, their last three games have had an average scoring total of 134 points.

Most recently, the Fresno State offense finished with just 66 points vs. Nevada. For the game, they hit 7/23 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Isaiah Hill led the team in scoring, putting up 16 points. Additionally, Isaac Tavares contributed 16 points for the Bulldogs.

On defense, Fresno State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.9 points per game. Fresno State’s three-point defense is currently 180th in the country at 7.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 46.9% of their shots vs. Fresno State.

Does New Mexico Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

Coming into today’s game, New Mexico has lost two straight games, and they are 21-8 overall. In Mountain West Conference play, the Lobos are 8-7, and they have gone 13-1 in non-conference action.

At home this season, New Mexico is 11-3, and their average scoring margin is +14.7 points per game.

As the favorite, New Mexico has gone just 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 games. At home, the Lobos’ ATS record is 9-5 this season and just 4-4 in their last 10 home games. Overall, their ATS mark is 16-11 this year.

Today’s over/under line of 152 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this season (153.1). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points. On the year, their over/under record is 16-11.

In their previous game, the Lobos’ offense finished with 79 points, which is right in line with their current average of 82.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Lobos have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 105th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 262nd in percentage and 260th in three-pointers made.

On defense, New Mexico is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.7 points per game. In today’s game vs. Fresno State, the New Mexico defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, New Mexico made 22 free-throws vs. the Lobos.