Planning on watching today’s Bulldogs and Wolf Pack game? Catch the action at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV, as the Wolf Pack hosts this showdown at 10:30 ET on CBSS. The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 137 points, with Nevada being favored by -14.5 at home against Fresno State.


The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +14.5

This game will be played at Lawlor Events Center at 10:30 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Wolf Pack.
  • Even though we have Nevada winning straight-up, we like Fresno State at +14.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Bulldogs Make it Happen on the Road?

After losing their last game to San Diego State by a score of 73-41, Fresno State will look to bounce back on the road against Nevada. On the season, the Bulldogs have gone 11-17, including a 4-10 mark in Mountain West play.

Fresno State has struggled on the road this season, going just 3-7 compared to their 7-9 record at home. As the underdog, the Bulldogs are 2-14, and they have lost three straight games coming into tonight’s matchup.

As the underdog, Fresno State has gone 5-11 vs. the spread this season and they are 11-15 overall. On the road, the Bulldogs are 4-6 vs. the spread and they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Fresno State has gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Fresno State games is 15-11, and today’s line of 137 is just below the average over/under line in their games of 138. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points.

Fresno State offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 41 points against San Diego State. In that game, they made 5/27 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 24.6%. Offensively, the Bulldogs have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 98th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 239th in percentage and 233rd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 189th in the country at 72.9 points per contest. Against San Diego State in their most recent game, the Fresno State defense gave up a total of 73 points while allowing San Diego State to hit 24% of their shots.

Can the Wolf Pack Please their Home Crowd?

At home this season, Nevada has gone 13-2, and they have won four straight games overall. The Wolf Pack’s average scoring margin at home is +16.3 points per game.

For the year, Nevada is 23-6, and their record in Mountain West action is 10-5. They have gone 18-4 when favored this season.

As the favorite, Nevada has gone 14-8 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have a 6-4 ATS record. At home, the Wolf Pack are 9-6 ATS this year and they have gone 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games at home.

Today’s over/under line of 137 for the Nevada Wolf Pack’s game against Fresno State is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (143.8). So far, 13 of their games have finished with less than 137 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 144 points.

In their latest game, Nevada offense put up 77 points against Colorado State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.7% and made 10 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Wolf Pack offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 18 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 47%.

At present, the Wolf Pack’s defense is nationally ranked 43rd, allowing 66.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. Colorado State, the Rams finished with a field goal percentage of 48% and a total of 74 points vs. Nevada.