Betting on today’s Bulldogs and Falcons game? Catch the action at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO, as the Falcons hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on MWN. The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 132.5 points, with Air Force being favored by -1 at home against Fresno State.
FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons -1
This game will be played at Clune Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Falcons.
- Not only will Air Force pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can Fresno State Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?
Fresno State comes into this game with a 10-13 overall record and a 3-7 record in Mountain West play. They have struggled on the road this season, going just 2-6, and their average scoring margin on the road is -9.0 points per game.
So far this season, the Bulldogs have been the underdog in 12 of their 23 games, and they have gone just 1-11 in those games. However, they are coming off a win over San Jose State, and they are 8-2 in games where they have been favored.
As the underdog this season, Fresno State has an ATS record of just 3-9. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread. On the road, Fresno State is 3-5 ATS this year and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Fresno State games is 13-9 and today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (138.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and during their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 138 points. This year, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.
In their latest game, Fresno State offense put up 69 points against San Jose State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.7% and made 9 threes. Xavier Dusell was the leading scorer for the Bulldogs, putting up 23 points. In addition, Enoch Boakye contributed 14 points.
Currently, the Bulldogs’ defense holds the 188th rank in the nation, allowing 72.5 points per game. The Fresno State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 57 points and allowed San Jose State to connect on 6 threes.
Is a Home Win Possible for the Falcons?
After losing four straight games, Air Force will look to get back in the win column when they host Fresno State. So far this season, the Falcons are 8-14, including a 4-9 record at home. As the favorite, Air Force is 6-5.
Most recently, the Falcons lost to San Diego State by a score of 77-64. Over their last ten games at home, Air Force has gone just 2-8.
As the favorite this season, Air Force has gone just 3-8 against the spread. Their ATS record at home is just 2-11 and they are 0-10 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Falcons are just 3-7 ATS.
So far this season, the over/under record for Air Force games is 16-6. The average scoring total in their games is 139.2, which is lower than the average over/under line of 134.2. Today’s over/under line is set at 132.5. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 9-1.
In their most recent game, the Falcons’ offense tallied 64 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 68.1 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Ethan Taylor, who is averaging 15.4 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Beau Becker also maintains a PPG average of 15.1 heading into game.
At present, the Falcons’ defense is nationally ranked 143rd, allowing 71.1 points per game. The Air Force defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed San Diego State to connect on 10 threes.