French Ligue 1 Pick of the Day Round 2 – Rennes vs. PSG (8/18/19)

Date | AuthorAdmir Aljic

Last Updated: 2019-08-16

These two rivals opened the season in France with a Super Cup clash in which the Parisians were better and beat Rennes after coming from behind. The match between Rennes and PSG will take place at Roazhon Park on August 18th, 2019.

Rennes vs. PSG

Three-Way: 1: Rennes +700; X: +425 Draw; 2: PSG -278 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +1.5: Rennes +108; PSG -118

Total 2.5 goals: Over -106; Under -101

RENNES

A 1-0 win at Montpellier on matchday one was a perfect start to the new season for Rennes; however, they haven’t won their opening two games of a league campaign since 1992/93. That doesn’t look likely to change here as they take on a PSG side that they have failed to beat in the last eight Ligue 1 H2Hs held here (D2, L6).

Quick-starting Rennes have scored the opener in their last six top-flight fixtures (W3, D3), however the last three league games in which they conceded the opener, they lost. That’ll worry manager Julien Stephan as opponents PSG won nine of the 13 top-flight away games last season in which they netted the opener.

Stephan will be without Adrien Hunou (thigh) and FlavienTait (suspension) while goalkeeper Edouard Mendy is doubtful as he is recovering from a broken hand.

Betting Trends:

  • M’Baye Niang has netted the opener in three of the last five competitive matches that he’s scored in
  • There’s been a penalty and a red card in three of Rennes’ last four Ligue 1 games

PSG

PSG started the new campaign with a 3-0 win over Nîmes; however, four of their recent five Ligue 1 away victories arrived by a tight one-goal margin. While the French champions netted an average of 2.21 goals per road trip last L1 campaign, they also conceded an average of 1.32, and have seen both teams score in their previous five L1 away outings.

The Parisians already won one trophy this season as they defeated Rennes in Super Cup despite trailing at halftime. With a relatively weak competition in France, they are the biggest favorites to win their third consecutive title.

Thomas Tuchel cannot count on Ander Herrera (calf) and Thilo Kehrer (foot) while Neymar (ankle) and Presnel Kimpembe (groin) are listed as questionable to face Rennes on Sunday.

Betting Trends:

  • Kylian Mbappé continued his penchant for second-half goals with a 56th-minute strike against Nimes – of his L1 goals last season, 78.79% arrived after halftime
  • There’s been over 2.5 goals in nine of PSG’s last ten Ligue 1 matches

PSG won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters (L2), including three of the last four while the Saints were victorious in each of the past seven meetings at Roazhon Park. These teams haven’t produced a stalemate since 2014, and that’s why I cannot exclude a draw from occurring this time around. However, I am not going with a draw here; I am backing Rennes to cover the +1.5 spread as they showed in recent H2H tilts that they could play against PSG.

MY PICK: AH +1.5 Rennes (+108)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Considering the previous four H2H featured both teams scoring, as well as five of Rennes’ last seven Ligue 1 matches, the hosts will feel they can get on the scoresheet. PSG’s defense is certainly not a very reliable one, and that’s why I am backing BTTS in this clash.

MY PICK: BTTS YES (-143)

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