Free WNBA Pick August 12, 2017

 

Last Updated: 2017-08-12

We actually have a somewhat normal WNBA schedule tonight with four games, including the highest total we’ve so far this season, as Dallas visits Connecticut, where the Sun is favored by 10 with a total of 175.5. My numbers actually like the game to go over, calling for a 95-86 final, but in the games with the highest totals this season (174 and over) have gone 1-3 this season. The Sun have been tough in this situation this season, going 9-1 ATS with three or more days rest and 9-2 ATS when playing a team with a losing record. This is a bit of revenge game for the Sun, who lost at Dallas 96-82 earlier this season, so will tab Connecticut as our first play of the day in this one.

Indiana at Washington: The Mystics are favored by 6.5 with a total of 157 and Washington is short-handed once again, with Hill and Delle Donne out for this contest. So far, the Mystics have held their own without two of their star players and are on a 4-1 straight-up and ATS run, while the Fever are on a 1-6 run, with the lone victory somehow coming against Minnesota. Indiana is just 4-10 in totals when on the road this season.

Atlanta at San Antonio: The Dream is favored by 3 with a total of 157 and I actually have San Antonio winning the game 81-76. The Dream are coming off a loss last night against New York and then making the trip to San Antonio. This is the first time since the start of the 2011 season that a road favorite lost its previous game as a home favorite and played the following night. Atlanta has lost five in a row straight-up and the Stars have won their last three games at home, so not so sure the right team is favored in this one. Yes, it takes a bit of nerve to wager on San Antonio, but believe they are the right side in this one and will take the home underdog as play No. 2 tonight. There’s also been a bit of a tendency for teams playing back-to-back games to go over the total, so will tab the over as our third and final play of the day.

Seattle at Phoenix: The Mercury could have Britney Griner in the line-up today and she makes a huge difference. Phoenix is favored by 4 with a total of 164.5 and I made the Mercury 85-77 winners, but will give Griner a few games to get back into playing shape before looking at Phoenix.

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