Free NFL Picks: Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Free NFL Picks: Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Last Updated: 2017-04-27

The undefeated Carolina Panthers (10-0) travel to play the Dallas Cowboys (3-7) this week. The NFL’s fifth-leading rusher, Jonathan Stewart (764 yards, 4 TDs), will be on display in this matchup. It will begin on Thursday Night Football, Nov 26 at 4:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on CBS.

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Dallas notched a win over the Dolphins 24-14 last week. Darren McFadden had an outstanding performance on the ground in the win, rushing for 129 yards on 29 carries. Carolina also picked up the win last week, crushing the Redskins 44-16. Cam Newton had a big game throwing the ball for the Panthers, completing 21 of 34 passes for 246 yards and five TDs. Jonathan Stewart had a big game as well, totaling 102 yards on 21 attempts.

The Cowboys are slight underdogs with Carolina favored by one in the game. For this contest, the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 46 points. For updated lines, check out BTB’s NFL Football Odds.

Heading into Week 12 of league action, the Cowboys are 3-7 for both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last five games, the Cowboys have records of 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. Don’t expect Carolina to have much success throwing the ball against the Cowboys. The Panthers average 214.3 yards per game through the air, 28th in the NFL.

As for their opponent, the Panthers have 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS records this season. They are the league’s fourth-highest scoring offense on the road, averaging 27.8 points per road game. If Dallas’s earlier games are any indication, the Panthers should utilize a heavy rushing attack on offense. The Cowboys allow 130.2 rushing yards per home game, 28th in the NFL. The Cowboys may be in trouble when Carolina’s league-best road scoring defense comes looking to exploit weakness on offense. Carolina allows an average of 16.2 points per away game. The secondary of the Panthers will be looking to shut down the weak passing attack of the Cowboys, which ranks 26th in the league with an average of 219.9 passing yards per game. The Cowboys might be concerned with the turnover-forcing abilities of the Carolina defense, which leads the league with 2.5 turnovers per game. The Panthers may take advantage of Dallas’s habit of letting up on its opponents late. The Cowboys allow 11.2 points in the final 15 minutes of regulation at home.

Predictions: SU Winner – Car, ATS Winner – Car, O/U – Under

Notes

Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina’s last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina’s last 12 games on the road.

Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road.

Carolina is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.

Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas.

Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas.

Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas.

Carolina is 9-0 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Dallas is 1-2 SU when leading after three quarters.

The Carolina defense has forced an average of 2.5 turnovers per game this season, but Dallas is a perfect 3-0 SU when turning the ball over at least 2.0 times in a game.

The Carolina rushing attack is ranked fourth in the league this year, compared to the 14th-ranked run defense of Dallas.

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