Matt Andriese (3-0, 2.11 ERA) takes the hill for the Tampa Bay Rays (21-22) as they square off against Justin Nicolino (2-2, 4.30 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (23-22) in the first of a two-game series at Tropicana Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 25 and can be seen on FSFL and SUN.
Andriese pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking two in a 7-5 win over the Tigers. Steve Pearce (.303, 16 Rs, 7 HRs, 19 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. Nicolino went 5.1 innings, surrendering four runs and striking out two in a 4-1 defeat to the Nationals in his last outing. Marcell Ozuna (.327, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 23 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs.
The odds for Tampa Bay and Miami are Rays -180, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently 8.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB
The Marlins lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Rays are 4-6. The Marlins are 7-6 in close games this season.
Miami has won 42% (8-11) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Tampa Bay has won 50% (9-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Rays who are heading in with a 1-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 15-4. The Marlins have an 18-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Miami sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 178 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 184.
Tampa Bay and Miami both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Tampa Bay sits at 20th with 132 this season and Miami ranks 19th with 133.
The Rays are 18-16 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 19-11 when they hit at least one homer.