Money Line: Baltimore +180 New York -190
Total Line: 9.5
The Baltimore Orioles wrap-up a three-game series against the AL East rival New York Yankees this Wednesday night at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
Baltimore dropped the first game in this series 2-1 as a 152 road underdog in what turned-out to be an excellent pitcher’s duel. Heading into Tuesday night’s game, the Orioles were one game behind Tampa Bay for the lead in the division with an overall record of 14-9. Monday’s loss dropped them to 6-5 on the road and the total has now stayed ‘under’ in 13 of their first 23 games overall.
Jake Arrieta is slated to get the start for Baltimore on Wednesday night. He is 1-2 with a 4.45 ERA in his first five starts. The right-hander got rocked around by Oakland his last time out; giving-up four earned runs on four hits in just over five innings pitched. He is 2-1 against the Yankees with an ERA of 4.25.
New York has gone 7-3 in its last 10 games heading into Game 2 of this series. It is now 13-9 overall and just a game and a half out of first. The Yankees are 6-5 at home this season but 4-1 in their last five home games. New York is ranked third in the AL in total runs and has outscored the Orioles 120-96 while playing one less game.
Ivan Nova will close-out this series as the Yankees starter. He will be looking for his 16th straight victory dating back to early June of last season to tie Rodger Clemens’ team record. He has a 5.18 ERA through four starts this season and gave-up six earned runs on 11 hits his last time out in what was a no decision. Lifetime against Baltimore, Nova is 3-0 with an ERA of 3.34.
The Orioles are 3-8 in Arrieta’s last 11 starts but 7-3 in the third game of their last 10 series. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of their last eight games.
The Yankees are 21-7 in 28 of Nova’s last 28 starts and 10-2 in his last 12 starts at home. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of their last seven games at home.
Head-to-head, New York is 4-1 in Nova’s last five starts and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last seven meetings.
Free MLB Pick
The past trends in this series with Nova on the mound clearly point the way to another Yankees’ victory over their division rivals. New York 5 Baltimore 2