MLB Picks


Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins

Starting Pitchers: Red Sox (Josh Beckett) vs. Marlins (Josh Johnson)

Date/Time: June 11, 7:10 P.M. EST

Television: ESPN

MLB Betting Odds from Bookmaker

Moneyline: Red Sox (-105), Marlins (+100)

Total: 7.5


MLB Betting Game Trends

Boston Red Sox

  • Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
  • Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
  • Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Miami

Miami Marlins

  • Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 16 of Miami's last 23 games at home
  • Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Boston


The Boston Red Sox will be looking to stop a three-game losing streak in this ESPN Monday Night Baseball matchup when they send starting pitcher Josh Beckett to the mound against his former team for the first time in his career. The Miami Marlins (31-29) rode Beckett (4-6, 4.04 ERA) to the 2003 World Series championship and then traded him to the Red Sox (29-31) along with third baseman Mike Lowell for four prospects that included shortstop Hanley Ramirez and pitcher Anibal Sanchez.

Beckett later led the Red Sox to the second of two World Series titles over four years in 2007. However, he has struggled to live up to expectations ever since then, even getting criticized for golfing on an off day earlier this season after getting scratched from a start due to injury. He has not earned a win in his last three starts despite giving up an average of 2.67 runs during that stretch of 22 innings with just one walk and 11 strikeouts.

The former No. 2 overall pick in the 1999 draft, Beckett is 2-2 in four road starts this year with a 4.68 ERA and actually earned his last victory away from home against the Philadelphia Phillies on May 20. He allowed only one run in 7.2 innings with two walks and five strikeouts following seven shutout innings in a 5-0 win over the Seattle Mariners in his previous start for his best consecutive starts of the season.

New Marlins ace Josh Johnson (3-4, 4.56) will oppose Beckett and has also had a hard time living up to his potential due to Tommy John surgery in 2007 and ongoing shoulder problems that have limited him over the past few seasons. He has already made more starts this year (12) than he did all of last year (nine) but has the same number of wins. Batters are hitting .302 against him, which is the highest since 2007, when he finished 0-3 with a career-worst 7.47 ERA.

Johnson has pitched fairly well since tying a season high with six runs surrendered in 2.2 innings of an eventual 9-8 road win against the San Diego Padres on May 4. He has allowed three runs or less in each of his last six outings, going 3-1 and lowering his ERA more than two runs.

Like Boston, Miami will try to break a losing streak, as the team tied a season high with its six setback in a row on Sunday, falling 4-2 to the Tampa Bay Rays. Johnson tied a season high with nine strikeouts in a 2-1 loss to the Atlanta Braves during the skid on June 6 and has gone 2-3 in seven home starts with a 4.09 ERA. He had not lost a game since April 29 and did not get a decision in his lone meeting with the Red Sox back in 2006.

Despite the struggles of each team, Beckett and Johnson are both pitching very well right now. Look for a low-scoring game in what should be a duel on the mound between the two Joshs.

Free MLB Pick: UNDER 7.5