MLB Betting Preview
Florida Marlins (61-54) at New York Mets (60-54)

Friday, 7:10 pm Eastern

SBG Global Opening Line: Mets  - 125 ,  Total  8.5 Flat

 

The Florida Marlins and New York Mets will begin an important three-game series on Friday with Ricky Nolasco facing Oliver Perez.  Nolasco has been excellent all season for the Marlins.  He is 11-6 on the season with a 3.91 ERA while Perez is 7-7 for the Mets with a 4.12 ERA.

SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Mets at Home.

 

Nolasco is coming off another excellent outing where he gave up three runs on four hits against Colorado.  He struck out 13 and walked none. The Mets go with Perez on Friday. The original plan was for Perez to start on Saturday but the injury to John Maine forced Perez to be moved up.  Perez already has two wins against the Marlins this season. Perez is 2-2 in his last seven starts, although the Mets have won five of those starts.  Perez has a 1.97 ERA in his last seven starts overall.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Friday’s game. The Marlins are 11-5 in their last 16 games as an underdog. The Marlins are 3-9 in their last 12 Friday games. The Marlins are 6-0 in Nolasco’s last 6 starts as an underdog. The Marlins are 4-0 in Nolasco’s last 4 road starts. The Marlins are 9-2 in Nolasco’s last 11 starts. The Over is 5-1 in Nolasco’s last 6 starts vs. the Mets.

 

The Mets are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a home favorite. The Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. The Mets are 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts vs. the National League East. The Mets are 6-1 in Perez’s last 7 starts as a home favorite. The Mets are 6-2 in Perez’s last 8 Friday starts. The Mets are 5-2 in Perez’s last 7 starts.

SBG Global Current Line: Mets  - 133 ,  Total  8.5 Flat                                

 

The Under is 4-0 in the Marlins last 4 Friday games. The Under is 4-1 in the Marlins last 5 overall. The Under is 6-2 in the Marlins last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 40-19-6 in the Marlins last 65 games as a road underdog. The Over is 8-1 in Nolasco’s last 9 starts as a road underdog.

 

The Over is 9-1-2 in the Mets last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 7-3 in the Mets last 10 games as a favorite. The Over is 7-3 in the Mets last 10 overall. The Under is 7-0 in Perez’s last 7 starts overall. The Under is 6-0 in Perez’s last 6 starts as a favorite. The Under is 5-2 in Perez’s last 7 starts vs. the National League East. The Over is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York between the two teams. The Over is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 home starts vs. the Marlins.

 

Picks Marlins 2units