Steven Matz (7-1, 2.60 ERA) starts for the New York Mets (31-24) as they square off against Jonathon Niese (5-2, 4.36 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (30-26) in the first of a three-game series at PNC Park. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 7 and can be seen on SNY, RTPT and ESP2.
Niese pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking three in a 3-2 defeat to the Marlins. Gregory Polanco (.308, 39 Rs, 9 HRs, 38 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 3 Sunday with one RBI. Matz went 5.2 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-4 defeat to the White Sox in his last outing.
The odds for Pittsburgh and New York are Pittsburgh -115, while the Over/Under (O/U) is 7.5 as of now.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT
In their last game, the Mets lost by a margin of one run. The Pirates are 9-7 in one-run games. The Mets have an 11-8 record in close games.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 2-7 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they are outhit, the Pirates are 5-17. The Mets have a 7-19 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 55 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 76.
Ranking 28th, New York is near the bottom of the league in hits, notching 7.71 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at second with 9.68.
Ranking 19th, New York is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.718). Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .784.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 12-15, well-matched with the Pirates who are 17-20 when allowing at least one homer.