Carlos Martinez (0-0, 2.57 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (6-3) meet Homer Bailey (9-5, 3.71 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (5-5) in the second of a three-game division series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 6-1 and St. Louis leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 2:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 18 and will air on FSN-OH and FSN-MW.
Martinez is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA, 26 strikeouts and five walks against the Reds in his career. Matt Carpenter (.378 ) continued his strong start to the season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. In his pitching opportunities against the Cardinals, Bailey is 6-10 with a 4.98 ERA, 81 strikeouts and 38 walks. Joey Votto (.378, 7 Rs, 4 HRs, 10 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well to start the season for the Reds, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
St. Louis is a -124 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Cardinals have a 3-2 record and overall money line at +118. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking second in the NL with an average of only 5.0 strikeouts per home game. St. Louis's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an NL-low 2.13 team ERA. The Cardinals don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking third in the league with a 0.99 WHIP. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.9 strikeouts per game.
Switching gears, the Reds come into this game with a win percentage of .500 when playing as the underdog (3-3) and an overall money line of +144. Against teams in their division, they are 5-4 SU and 3-3 as the underdog. The Reds have racked up 12 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league.
In their previous four games this season, the Cardinals have a 3-1 record. The Cardinals will take on a right-hander (Bailey) in this game and have a 4-3 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Martinez. They sport a 4-2 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals have a 6-3 record against the NL Central Division, while the Reds have split their meetings with divisional opponents, 5-5.
Cincinnati has won 33% (1-2) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, St. Louis has won 60% (3-2) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 2-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Cardinals have a slight leg up on the Reds, as the Cardinals have won their last three games while the Reds have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 2-2. The Cardinals have a 4-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd, Cincinnati sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 34 this season. St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 36.
Both St. Louis and Cincinnati are tied at 15th in walks with a total of 28 this season.
The Cardinals are 2-1 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Reds are 4-3 when they hit at least one homer.