Dillon Gee (0-1, 7.59 ERA) and the New York Mets (11-3) meet Eric Stults (0-1, 6.30 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (8-5) in the second of a three-game division series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 7-1, extending a nine-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 22 and will air on SPSO and SNY.
Gee is 6-5 with a 3.13 ERA against the Braves in his career, and is up against a less-than-stellar Atlanta offense that's hitting just .240 on the year. Travis d'Arnaud (.317, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs) kept up his strong start yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Mets, Stults is 3-1 with a 2.87 ERA, 29 strikeouts and 13 walks. Nick Markakis (.372, 8 Rs, 5 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
New York, a -151 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Atlanta. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Mets have a winning record of 7-1 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +748. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (7-1). They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the NL with an average of 3.4 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Mets are fifth in the league in WHIP at 1.08.
Switching gears, the Braves come into this game with a solid win percentage of .667 when playing as the underdog (6-3) and an overall money line of +575. Against divisional opponents, they are 6-3 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 4-2 record. The Braves seem to play worse against their division opponents. In divisional matchups, Atlanta has averaged 4.0 runs per game, compared to 4.5 for the duration of the season. Atlanta's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.2 runs per game against teams from the NL East, lower than their season average of 3.7.
Taking the hill against the Braves will be the right-hander Gee. They sport a 6-4 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 11-3 against their divisional rivals, while the Braves are 6-4.
Atlanta has won 43% (3-4) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 88% (7-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Braves who are coming in with a 4-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 1-5. The Mets have a 3-3 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting nine this season. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 14.
New York and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. New York sits at eighth with 8.08 hits per game and Atlanta ranks sixth with 8.17.
New York and Atlanta both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 14th with an OPS of .690 and Atlanta ranks 12th with an OPS of .707.
When the Braves allow at least one home run, they are 2-3. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 7-3 record.