Jeremy Guthrie (1-0, 5.54 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (11-3) meet Mike Pelfrey (0-0, 4.50 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (5-9) in the last of a three-game division series at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 6-5 and Kansas City leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 22 and will air on FSN-N and FSN-KC.
Guthrie is 9-3 with a 3.38 ERA against the Twins in his career, and is up against a less-than-stellar Minnesota offense that's hitting just .223 on the year. Salvador Perez (.370, 8 Rs, 3 HRs, 12 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Royals, Pelfrey is 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA. He gets a strong Kansas City offense that's batting .310. Kurt Suzuki (.216, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 5 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well to start the season for the Twins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Kansas City, a -163 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Minnesota. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Royals have a winning record of 5-3 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +693. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 5-2 and a 5-2 record when they were the favorite. The Royals have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.8 runs per game. The Royals have the top batting average in the league at .310. The Royals are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 13 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. As for the pitching staff, the Royals rank fourth in the AL in ERA with a 3.13 team average. The Royals don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.02 WHIP.
On the other side, the Twins have a record of 5-7 when they are the underdog and are -211 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 5-8 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 5-7 record. Minnesota has been playing better lately, averaging 3.9 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.1.
The Royals are 3-2 against the Twins this season. The Royals will take on a right-hander (Pelfrey) in this game and have a 5-2 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Twins will be the right-hander Guthrie. They sport a 3-5 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Under
The Royals hold a 6-2 record against the AL Central Division this season, while the Twins have a 5-9 record against the division.
Minnesota has lost all of its games (0-4) when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won all of its games (5-0) when taking a late lead.
The Royals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Twins have a 1-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Royals have a slight leg up on the Twins, as the Royals have won their last three games while the Twins have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Royals are 10-1. The Twins have a 3-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Minnesota has earned 45 this season. Kansas City ranks second with 81 runs.
Ranking 25th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 32 this season. Kansas City ranks in the top half at 15th with 38.
When the Royals hit at least one home run, they are 8-1. When the Twins hit at least one homer, they have a 5-2 record.