In the second of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (11-6) and the Cleveland Indians (11-6) at Comerica Park, Alfredo Simon (3-0, 1.74 ERA) and Trevor Bauer (2-0, 0.95 ERA) get the start. The Indians won the last game 13-1 and Cleveland leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:08 p.m. ET on Saturday, Apr. 25 and will air on STO, FSN-DET and FS1.
Simon has a 5.40 ERA and a 2-2 record in his career against the Indians, but faces a struggling Cleveland offense that's hitting just .233 on the year. Miguel Cabrera (.359, 8 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Tigers, Bauer is 2-0 with a 4.34 ERA. He meets a solid Detroit offense that's batting .283. Brandon Moss (.214, 7 Rs, 3 HRs, 9 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well to start the season, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and seven RBIs.
Detroit is a -125 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Tigers perform well as a favorite with a 7-4 record and have an overall money line of +533. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 8-1 and a 6-1 record when they were the favorite. Detroit has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Detroit has only averaged 3.0 runs per game compared to the 4.8 they've averaged on the season. The Tigers are an exceptional hitting team with 9.6 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the AL. The Tigers are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 14 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Turning to the pitching staff, the Tigers rank third in the AL in ERA with a 3.15 team average. The Tigers don't give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking third in the AL with only 7.2 hits allowed per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Indians come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (2-3) and an overall money line of -568. Against divisional rivals, they are 3-8 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-2 record. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Cleveland batters, who rank second in the AL with 6.9 strikeouts per road game. Cleveland's pitching staff and defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, averaging an AL-best three runs allowed per road game. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an AL-high 10.4 strikeouts per game.
The Tigers are 3-1 against the Indians this season. This game will feature Bauer (RHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 7-4 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Simon will take the mound against the Indians, who have a 4-4 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Under
The Tigers sit at 8-2 against the division, while the Indians are struggling at 4-8.
Cleveland has won 50% (3-3) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 67% (6-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Tigers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Indians have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 0-4. The Indians have a 1-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 16th in home runs, Cleveland has hit 14 this season. Detroit ranks 11th with 15 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.36 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at third with 9.63.
Ranking 21st, Cleveland is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.660). Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .781.
When the Indians allow at least one home run, they are 4-7, well-matched with the Tigers who are 2-5 when allowing at least one homer.