Dan Haren (1-1, 3.32 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (7-11) go up against Gio Gonzalez (1-1, 3.44 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (7-11) in the last of a three-game division series at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 8-0 and Miami leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 26 and will air on MASN2 and FSN-FL.
Haren is 2-2 with a 2.36 ERA against the Nationals in his career, and faces a less-than-stellar Washington offense that's hitting just .222 on the year. Giancarlo Stanton (.262, 12 Rs, 5 HRs, 16 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 3 with three runs, one home run, and two RBIs. In his career against the Marlins, Gonzalez is 6-2 with a 1.67 ERA. He meets a strong Miami offense that's batting .258. Michael Taylor (.271, 3 Rs, 2 HRs, 8 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Miami is a +112 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Marlins perform poorly as an underdog with a 2-5 record and have an overall money line of -627. They have disappointing records of 2-5 as the underdog and 5-9 SU within their division. The Marlins are fourth in the NL in hits allowed with just 7.9 per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Nationals come into this game with a win percentage of .462 when playing as the favorite (6-7) and an overall money line of -563. Against divisional rivals, they are 5-6 SU and 5-6 as the favorite. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. The Nationals average 3.3 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Playing against NL East foes really brings the best out of the Washington pitchers. They allow 3.0 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 3.9.
So far this season, the Marlins are 2-0 against the Nationals. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Haren. They sport a 5-9 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
The Marlins are 6-9 against their divisional rivals, while the Nationals are 5-7 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 4-6, while Miami is 3-6.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Nationals have a 0-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Marlins have a slight leg up on the Nationals, as the Marlins have won their last four games while the Nationals have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 7-4. The Nationals have a 5-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, Washington sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 63 this season. Miami ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 79.
Ranking 13th, Miami is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 52 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 57.
The Marlins are 3-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 6-5 when they hit at least one homer.