Jeremy Hellickson (1-2, 4.58 ERA) and Francisco Liriano (0-1, 3.00 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (8-9) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (10-8) at Chase Field. The Pirates won the last game 2-1 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 26 and can be seen on ROOT-PIT and FSN-AZ.
Hellickson pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking one in a 5-1 win over the Giants. A.J. Pollock (.344, 12 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one stolen base. Against the Diamondbacks, Liriano is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 10 strikeouts. Pedro Alvarez (.232, 10 Rs, 4 HRs, 9 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Pittsburgh takes on Arizona as a -126 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +183 and a record as the underdog of 6-6.
In games where it is the favorite, Pittsburgh has a 6-5 record and an overall money line of -12. The Pirates have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.6 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Pirates have the edge in the season series, 2-0. Hellickson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 9-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Pirates won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Diamondbacks are 3-3. The Pirates are 4-4 in close games this season.
When the Diamondbacks play into extra innings, they have a 2-0 record. The Pirates are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Pirates are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Diamondbacks have a record of 0-2 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
The Diamondbacks and the Pirates are both 2-6 when they are outhit.
Arizona ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 11 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 17.
Ranking 13th, Pittsburgh is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.24 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.63.
Arizona and Pittsburgh both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Arizona sits at 21st with an OPS of .664 and Pittsburgh ranks 25th with an OPS of .639.
The Pirates are 2-6 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Diamondbacks are 5-6 when they allow at least one homer.