In the second of a four-game series between the Atlanta Braves (10-12) and the Cincinnati Reds (10-12) at Turner Field, Trevor Cahill (0-3, 9.42 ERA) and Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 1.04 ERA) take the mound. The Reds won the last game 5-1 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:35 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 1 and will air on FSN-OH and FSN-S.
Cahill has a 2.40 ERA and a 0-1 record in his career against the Reds, and is up against a less-than-stellar Cincinnati offense that's hitting just .224 on the year. A.J. Pierzynski (.422, 8 Rs, 3 HRs, 14 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs. The Reds were unsuccessful the last time DeSclafani pitched. He had a good outing, pitching, going 5.0 innings, allowing one, striking out five and walking two in a 5-2 loss to the Cubs. Joey Votto (.317, 13 Rs, 7 HRs, 17 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Reds, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Atlanta is a +100 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Braves are 7-8 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +64. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-5).
Switching to the opposing bench, the Reds come into this game in an interesting position. They have a negative money line (-67) but have won more than 60 percent of games played as the favorite (5-3). The Reds have racked up 23 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league.
The only other game between the two teams went Cincinnati's way. This game will feature DeSclafani (RHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have an 8-10 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Cahill. They sport a 9-8 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
Atlanta has won 33% (5-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Cincinnati has won 56% (5-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 1-8. The Reds have a 4-7 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 18th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 17 this season. Cincinnati ranks second with 31 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.48 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.48.
Ranking 18th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.686). Atlanta ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .702.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 7-10. When the Braves allow one or more homers, they have a 3-8 record.