James Shields (2-0, 2.90 ERA) and Tyler Matzek (2-0, 2.70 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (13-12) and the Colorado Rockies (11-12) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 4-2 and San Diego leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and can be seen on ROOT-RM and FSN-SD.
Shields is 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA in his appearances against the Rockies, and goes up against a quality Colorado offense which is batting .274 this season. Justin Upton (.281, 17 Rs, 6 HRs, 18 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs. Matzek is 1-3 with a 3.66 ERA against the Padres in his career. He takes on a good San Diego offense that's batting .262.
San Diego is a -171 favorite against Colorado and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -100 and a record as the favorite of 7-5. San Diego has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 7-2 and 10-8 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Padres have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 5.0 runs per game. The Padres are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 9.2 per game. San Diego's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.6.
In games where it is the underdog, Colorado has a 8-6 record and an overall money line of +28. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 5-6 record against NL West foes, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Rockies have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 3.5 in those contests. The Rockies are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.6 hits per game. The Rockies allow 5.4 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.4 runs per game during that span.
The Padres lead the season series, 4-2. The Padres have a 4-2 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Matzek takes the mound. Shields (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a 10-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
The Padres hold an 11-8 record this season against teams in the NL West Division. The Rockies' record in these matchups is 7-10.
The Rockies are 1-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Padres are 0-2 in such matchups.
The Rockies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 0-10. The Rockies have a 1-9 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total home runs this season, San Diego ranks ninth with 23 homers and Colorado is 10th with 22.
Ranking first in hits, Colorado has earned 9.59 per game this season. San Diego ranks third with 9.17 hits.
Ranking 11th, San Diego is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.721). Colorado ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .755.
The Rockies are 4-9 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Padres are 8-10 when they allow at least one homer.