Wily Peralta (0-4, 4.35 ERA) and Joe Wieland (first start) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (8-19) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (17-9) at Miller Park. The Dodgers won the last game 8-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 6 and can be seen on SportsNet LA and FSN-WI.
Peralta is 2-1 with a 4.61 ERA in his appearances against the Dodgers, and goes up against a quality Los Angeles offense which is batting .259 this season. Joe Wieland is making his first start of the season. He takes on a below-average Milwaukee offense that's batting just .223. Adrian Gonzalez (.361, 23 Rs, 9 HRs, 22 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Los Angeles takes on Milwaukee as a -117 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -925 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 6-11. Milwaukee's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.5 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.8.
As for their opponent, Los Angeles is coming in with an overall money line of +318 and an impressive record of 15-8 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.7 runs per game, which is good for second in the NL. The Dodgers have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 102 extra base hits. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 3.7 per game. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.10 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.10 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 9.3 strikeouts per game.
The Brewers have a bad 3-9 record at home (7-14 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Frias takes the mound. Peralta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 3-6 record on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Their overall record against righties isn't as positive at 15-7.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
Milwaukee has won 30% (3-7) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 60% (6-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Dodgers who are coming in with a 3-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-15. The Dodgers have a 1-6 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles tops the league in home runs with 42 this season. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 22nd with 18.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.50 per game. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.68.
Los Angeles tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .816 this season. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 29th with an OPS of .622.
When the Dodgers allow at least one home run, they are 9-6. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 5-15 record.