This game could be low scoring as A.J. Burnett (0-1, 1.45 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-15) meet Anthony DeSclafani (2-2, 2.03 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (14-13) in the last of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates lost the last game 3-0, extending a five-game losing streak. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 7 and will air on FSN-OH and ROOT-PIT.
Burnett has a 3.69 ERA and a 7-6 record in his career against the Reds, and faces a struggling Cincinnati offense that's hitting just .232 on the year. In his pitching opportunities against the Pirates, DeSclafani is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, six strikeouts and one walk. Todd Frazier (.228, 20 Rs, 9 HRs, 18 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Pittsburgh, a -138 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Pirates have a 9-7 record and overall money line at -362. They have an 8-12 record SU and are 5-5 as favorite within their division. Pittsburgh's pitchers struggle within their division. The Pirates have given up an average of 3.8 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense's season average of 3.3.
Across the field, the Reds have a record of 6-8 when they are the underdog and are -4 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 11-11 SU and 6-8 as the underdog. Cincinnati is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 37 home runs. The Reds have racked up 32 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Shifting to the pitching staff, they average just 7.5 hits allowed per game, best in the NL.
The Reds are 5-0 against the Pirates this season. This game will feature DeSclafani (RHP) on the mound against the Pirates, who have a 12-12 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Burnett. They sport a 10-10 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
The Pirates currently sit below .500 against the NL Central Division at 8-13, and the Reds have a 12-11 record.
For the fifth time this season, the Reds registered at least two errors in a game.
The Reds are 1-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 0-4 in such matchups.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Pirates have a 4-6 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Pirates are 2-11. The Reds have a 4-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 17th in home runs, Pittsburgh has hit 21 this season. Cincinnati ranks third with 37 home runs.
Pittsburgh and Cincinnati both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Pittsburgh sits at 12th with 7.73 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks 11th with 7.77.
Ranking 28th, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.624). Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .697.
The Reds are 9-12 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Pirates are 2-9 when they allow at least one homer.