In a game that could be a shootout, Mark Buehrle (4-2, 6.00 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (16-17) are in Baltimore to square off against Chris Tillman (2-4, 6.25 ERA) and the Orioles (14-16). This is the second of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 5-2 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 12 and can be seen on RSN and MASN.
Tillman is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, and goes up against a good Toronto offense which is batting .261 this season. Jimmy Paredes (.362, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4. Buehrle is 10-10 with a 3.58 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He is up against a quality Baltimore offense that's batting .269. Josh Donaldson (.315, 25 Rs, 7 HRs, 21 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Baltimore is a -123 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. Though the Orioles have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-276), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 8-5. Within its division, Baltimore has a 7-5 record as favorite and a 12-14 record SU. The Orioles have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.8 runs per game. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the AL in offense with 4.8 runs per game. The Orioles lead the AL in hits at home with an impressive 10.4 per game. Baltimore's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.6.
As for their opponent, Toronto is coming in with an overall money line of -116 and a disappointing record of 6-10 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, they average 5.4 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 112 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays have controlled the season series, 5-2. Tillman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have an 11-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
This season, the Blue Jays hold an even 13-13 record against AL East teams. The Orioles sit at 13-14 against these opponents.
Neither the Orioles nor the Blue Jays have lost a game in extra innings, both going 1-0 in such matchups.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have an 8-11 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 12-5. The Blue Jays have a 14-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto tops the league in runs with 174 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 143.
Ranking 26th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 75 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 109.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 13-10. When the Blue Jays hit at least one homer, they have a 13-7 record.