Aaron Harang (3-3, 2.38 ERA) takes the hill for the Philadelphia Phillies (12-23) as they square off against Vance Worley (2-2, 4.63 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (17-17) in the last of a four-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 3-2 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 14 and can be seen on ROOT-PIT, CSN-PHI and MLB.
Harang is 16-8 with a 4.04 ERA in his appearances against the Pirates, and goes up against a below-average Pittsburgh offense which is batting just .236 this season. Freddy Galvis (.336, 11 Rs, 1 HR, 9 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one RBI. Worley is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA against the Phillies in his career. He is up against a below-average Philadelphia offense that's batting just .229. Starling Marte (.271, 18 Rs, 8 HRs, 24 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Pittsburgh takes on Philadelphia as a -130 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -819 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 11-21.
In games where it is the favorite, Pittsburgh has a 14-10 record and an overall money line of -263. Pittsburgh's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.09 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Pirates are fifth in the NL on the road with an average of 7.8 hits allowed per away game.
The Pirates lead the season series, 2-1. The Phillies have a bad 8-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Worley takes the mound. Harang (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 16-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Under
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia.
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia.
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh.
When leading after 7 innings, Pittsburgh is 5-6, while Philadelphia is 8-13.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Pirates have a 7-12 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 3-18. The Pirates have a 4-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 18 this season. Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom at 21st with 26.
Philadelphia and Pittsburgh both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 14th with 7.57 hits per game and Pittsburgh ranks 11th with 7.94.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.614). Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom at 27th with an OPS of .652.
The Pirates are 5-10 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Phillies are 5-16 when they allow at least one homer.