Jon Niese (3-2, 1.95 ERA) takes the hill for the New York Mets (20-14) as they square off against Travis Wood (2-2, 4.96 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (18-15) in the last of a four-game series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 2-1 and Chicago can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 2:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 14 and can be seen on SNY and CSN-CHI.
Wood is 2-1 with a 3.34 ERA in his appearances against the Mets, and goes up against a below-average New York offense which is batting just .235 this season. Anthony Rizzo (.333, 24 Rs, 7 HRs, 19 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday. When pitching against the Cubs, Niese is 3-4 with a 5.16 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, and 38 strikeouts. Lucas Duda (.289, 18 Rs, 3 HRs, 13 RBIs) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
Chicago is a -125 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is currently not available. The Cubs have an overall money line of +110 and a record as the favorite of 10-8. Chicago is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Chicago is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 30 bases. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to Wrigley Field have been stifled by the Cubs, who have a team ERA of only 3.06 at home. The Cubs are the top team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.5 hits per contest to their opponents this season.
Over in the other dugout, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+650), New York has an unimpressive 5-11 record when playing as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-4 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Mets have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 2.4 during that stretch. New York's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL at pitching on the road, with a 3.57 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season.
The Cubs have the edge in the season series, 3-0. Wood (LHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 3-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets's last 11 games.
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road.
NY Mets are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs.
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs.
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 12-4, while Chicago is 6-8.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cubs have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 3-13. The Mets have a 7-12 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 23 this season. Chicago ranks in the top half at 13th with 31.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.59 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.52.
Ranking 28th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.651). Chicago ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .720.
The Mets are 10-9 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 9-11 when they allow at least one homer.