In the first of a four-game series between the Seattle Mariners (15-18) and the Boston Red Sox (15-18) at Safeco Field, Roenis Elias (0-1, 3.86 ERA) and Joe Kelly (1-2, 6.35 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 10:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 14 and will air on NESN and ROOT-NW.
In his most recent outing, Elias pitched 7.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 4-3 loss to the Angels. Nelson Cruz (.346, 23 Rs, 15 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Mariners, Kelly is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA, five strikeouts and three walks. Hanley Ramirez (.261, 20 Rs, 10 HRs, 22 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Red Sox, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Seattle, a -132 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Boston. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 12-12 record and overall money line at -679. The Mariners lead the AL in home ERA with a 2.87 team average. The Mariners don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Safeco Field, ranking fifth in the AL with only 7.6 hits allowed per home game.
Across the field, the Red Sox have a record of 7-7 when they are the underdog and are -493 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.7 runs per game, below their 4.2 season average. Boston has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 3.8 walks per game. Switching gears to Boston's pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 7.5 strikeouts per road game.
The Mariners will take on a right-hander (Kelly) in this game and have a 12-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the left-hander Elias. They sport a 4-4 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - SEA, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games.
Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Seattle.
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
Boston earned its fourth shutout of the season in its last game. Seattle has been shut out two times this season.
When the Red Sox play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Mariners are 3-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Red Sox managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are heading in with a 3-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 7-7. The Red Sox have a 12-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Seattle is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 130 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 14th with 144.
Ranking 22nd, Seattle is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 88 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at second with 128.
When the Mariners hit at least one home run, they are 12-10. When the Red Sox hit at least one homer, they have an 11-11 record.