This game could be low scoring as Jon Niese (3-3, 2.49 ERA) and the New York Mets (23-16) go up against Michael Wacha (5-0, 2.06 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (25-13) in the second of a four-game series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 2-1 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 19 and will air on FSN-MW and SNY.
Niese is 4-2 with a 2.27 ERA against the Cardinals in his career, but faces a strong St. Louis offense that's hitting .265 on the year. Curtis Granderson (.252, 22 Rs, 5 HRs, 13 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 6 with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Mets, Wacha is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA. He meets a struggling New York offense that's batting just .238. Matt Holliday (.320, 16 Rs, 3 HRs, 21 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 6 yesterday.
New York is a small -101 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Mets perform poorly as an underdog with a 5-12 record, but have fared better with the overall money line (+625). With a 0-4 record as the underdog, they have had a tough time over their last 10 games. New York's pitching staff performs very well on its own field, with an NL-best 2.42 team ERA at home. The Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.12 WHIP.
On the other side, the Cardinals have a nice record of 20-7 when they are favored and are +1,128 overall with the money line. The Cardinals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an NL-low 2.87 ERA this season. They also allow just 7.5 hits per road game, good for tops in the NL. The St. Louis pitching staff has been an intimidating group on the road this year, averaging an NL-best 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The only other game between the two teams went New York's way. This game will feature Wacha (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 14-3 home and 19-11 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Cardinals will be the left-hander Niese. They sport a 4-5 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Cardinals lost by a margin of one run. The Mets are 8-7 in one-run games. The Cardinals have a 7-7 record in close games.
The Mets are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 4-3 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Cardinals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have an 11-2 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 16-6. The Mets have a 14-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, New York is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 151 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top half at 12th with 162.
Ranking 17th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 110 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top half at 13th with 122.
The Mets are 14-5 when they hit at least one home run. The Cardinals perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 15-6 record.