Lance Lynn (3-4, 3.41 ERA) and Tyler Cravy (0-0, 0.00 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the St. Louis Cardinals (33-18) and the Milwaukee Brewers (18-34) at Busch Stadium. The Brewers won the last game 1-0 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:15 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 2 and can be seen on FSN-WI and FSN-MW.
Lynn is 6-3 with a 2.78 ERA in his appearances against the Brewers, and goes up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is batting just .227 this season. Jhonny Peralta (.311, 25 Rs, 8 HRs, 30 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday. This is the first time Lynn will take the hill this season. Adam Lind (.278, 19 Rs, 8 HRs, 23 RBIs) went 1 for 1 yesterday.
St. Louis is a -151 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +1,271 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 27-9. St. Louis is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Cardinals have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. The Cardinals are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.2 per game. St. Louis is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.70. The Cardinals are the third-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.2 hits per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,558 and a disappointing record of 13-20 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 7-11 record against NL Central rivals, and a 3-7 record SU. The Brewers average 5.0 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL Central is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.5 against division foes.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 4-3. The Cardinals have a great 17-4 record at home (27-13 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Cravy takes the mound. Lynn (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a inferior 13-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road.
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Milwaukee is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing St. Louis.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis.
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis.
The Cardinals sit at 17-8 against the division, while the Brewers are struggling at 10-16.
Milwaukee earned its fourth shutout of the season in its last game. St. Louis has been shut out five times this season.
The Cardinals are 5-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have a 16-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 23-7. The Brewers have an 11-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th, Milwaukee sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 194 this season. St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 209.
Ranking 22nd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 125 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 162.
The Cardinals are 22-6 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 16-13 when they hit at least one homer.