In the second of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (20-33) and the Cincinnati Reds (20-33) at Citizens Bank Park, Cole Hamels (5-4, 2.91 ERA) and Mike Leake (2-4, 4.66 ERA) take the mound. The Phillies won the last game 5-4 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 3 and will air on FSN-OH and CSN-PHI.
Hamels is 9-0 with a 1.51 ERA, 74 strikeouts and 27 walks against the Reds in his career. Ryan Howard (.244, 17 Rs, 10 HRs, 25 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his career against the Phillies, Leake is 1-3 with a 7.41 ERA. He gets a struggling Philadelphia offense that's batting just .238. Joey Votto (.286, 23 Rs, 9 HRs, 26 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two RBIs.
Philadelphia, a -138 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Phillies perform poorly as a favorite with a 2-5 record and have an overall money line of -1,105. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-3. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fourth in the NL with an average of only 6.5 strikeouts per home game. As for the pitching staff, the Phillies are fifth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.3 per game.
Switching gears, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .357 when playing as the underdog (10-18) and an overall money line of -564. The Reds have racked up 50 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league. Switching gears to Cincinnati's pitching staff, they average just 8.3 hits allowed per game, fifth-best in the NL.
So far this season, the Phillies are 1-0 against the Reds. The Phillies will take on a right-hander (Leake) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 15-27. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the left-hander Hamels. They sport a 6-6 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Under
The Reds lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Phillies are 7-8. The Reds are 8-9 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 8-12, while Philadelphia is 9-17.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 4-14 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 5-25. The Reds have a 5-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 29 this season. Cincinnati ranks sixth with 58 home runs.
Philadelphia and Cincinnati both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 13th with 7.90 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks 12th with 8.02.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.637). Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .710.
The Reds are 12-21 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Phillies are 6-24 when they allow at least one homer.