James Shields (6-0, 3.69 ERA) and Dillon Gee (0-2, 3.86 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (26-28) and the New York Mets (29-24) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 7-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 9:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 3 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-SD.
Shields pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking two in a 6-2 defeat to the Pirates. When pitching against the Padres, Gee is 2-2 with a 2.52 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 26 strikeouts. Michael Cuddyer (.271, 25 Rs, 5 HRs, 23 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
San Diego is a -147 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. Though the Padres have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-330), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 14-9. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank fourth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 9.0.
As for their opponent, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+553), New York has an unimpressive 6-17 record when playing as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 5-5 record SU. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.15 for the season.
The Padres have a 17-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gee takes the mound. Shields (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 25-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
San Diego has won 56% (15-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 65% (15-8) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have an 8-20 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 4-23. The Mets have a 9-19 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, San Diego has hit 43 this season. New York ranks 19th with 45 home runs.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.83 per game. San Diego ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.38.
San Diego and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Diego sits at 25th with an OPS of .677 and New York ranks 27th with an OPS of .668.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 11-18. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 15-21 record.